Cost-effectiveness of a clinical decision support system for atrial fibrillation: an RCT-based modelling study

Olof Persson Lindell1,2, Martin Henriksson3, Lars O Karlsson1,2

  • 1Department of Cardiology, Linköping University Hospital, Kardiologiska Kliniken, Universitetssjukhuset, Linköping 581 85, Sweden.

PubMed

Insights

Clinical decision support (CDS) systems improve anticoagulation adherence in atrial fibrillation (AF), reducing strokes. This study found a CDS intervention for AF is cost-effective, offering significant health gains at a low cost per QALY gained.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Health Economics
  • Medical Informatics

Background:

  • Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases thromboembolism risk, necessitating anticoagulation.
  • Underuse of anticoagulation in AF patients remains a significant clinical challenge.
  • Clinical Decision Support (CDS) systems show potential to improve guideline adherence for anticoagulation in AF.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of a Clinical Decision Support (CDS) system for managing anticoagulation in patients with Atrial Fibrillation (AF).
  • To assess the economic impact of a CDS intervention compared to standard care in AF patients.
  • To determine if CDS for AF anticoagulation meets established cost-effectiveness thresholds.

Main Methods:

  • A Markov-based disease progression model simulated hypothetical AF patients under standard care versus a CDS strategy.
  • Anticoagulation adherence data was derived from the CDS-AF trial.
  • Cost-effectiveness was analyzed over a lifetime horizon, calculating Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALYs) and Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratios (ICERs), with sensitivity analyses performed.

Main Results:

  • The CDS intervention led to a reduction in ischemic strokes but an increase in bleeding events.
  • A mean gain of 0.012 QALYs per patient was observed.
  • The Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio (ICER) was €963 per QALY gained, well below the €50,000 threshold.

Conclusions:

  • The CDS intervention for AF anticoagulation demonstrates significant health gains.
  • The intervention is highly cost-effective, with a low ICER per QALY gained.
  • The findings suggest that CDS systems are a valuable tool for improving AF management and warrant wider implementation.
Abstract