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Updated: Jan 16, 2026

Introduction of an Integrated Pathology Image Management, Artificial Intelligence, and Reporting System
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Pathologist-interpretable breast cancer subtyping and stratification from AI-inferred nuclear features.

Ranjan Kumar Barman1, Saugato Rahman Dhruba1, Danh-Tai Hoang1

  • 1Cancer Data Science Laboratory, Center for Cancer Research, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.

Biorxiv : the Preprint Server for Biology
|September 29, 2025
PubMed
Summary

EXPAND is a new AI tool for digital pathology that predicts breast cancer subtypes and survival using pathologist-interpretable features. This explainable AI model achieves performance comparable to black box models, enhancing diagnostic transparency.

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Area of Science:

  • Digital Pathology
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Computational Biology

Background:

  • Artificial intelligence (AI) offers advancements in digital pathology but often lacks human interpretability.
  • Existing AI models in pathology can be 'black boxes', hindering clinical trust and adoption.
  • Pathologist interpretability is crucial for integrating AI into routine cancer diagnostics.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To introduce EXPAND (EXplainable Pathologist Aligned Nuclear Discriminator), the first pathologist-interpretable AI model for breast cancer diagnostics.
  • To develop an automated workflow for predicting tumor subtypes and patient survival using interpretable features.
  • To validate the performance and prognostic value of interpretable AI in breast cancer.

Main Methods:

  • Development of EXPAND, an AI model focusing on 12 nuclear pathologist-interpretable features (NPIFs) from the Nottingham grading criteria.
  • Implementation of a fully automated, end-to-end diagnostic workflow for NPIF extraction and prediction.
  • Evaluation of EXPAND's performance in predicting HER2+, HR+, and TNBC tumor subtypes and patient survival.

Main Results:

  • EXPAND achieved AUC values of 0.73 (HER2+), 0.79 (HR+), and 0.75 (TNBC), comparable to non-interpretable AI models.
  • The 12 NPIFs demonstrated significant and independent prognostic value for patient survival.
  • EXPAND's performance matched proprietary models using more complex feature sets.

Conclusions:

  • EXPAND provides a pathologist-interpretable AI solution for breast cancer diagnostics, enhancing transparency.
  • The 12 NPIFs serve as biologically grounded, interpretable biomarkers for survival stratification.
  • This work paves the way for developing interpretable AI diagnostic models in other cancer types.