A radiomics-based machine learning model and SHAP for predicting spread through air spaces and its prognostic implications in stage I lung adenocarcinoma: a multicenter cohort study
- Yuhang Wang 1,2, Xufeng Liu 3, Xiaojiang Zhao 2, Zixiao Wang 4, Xin Li 5,6, Daqiang Sun 7,8
- Yuhang Wang 1,2, Xufeng Liu 3, Xiaojiang Zhao 2
- 1Department of Thoracic Surgery, Tianjin Chest Hospital, No.261, Taierzhuang South Road, Jinnan District, Tianjin, China.
- 2Tianjin Chest Hospital of Tianjin University, Tianjin, China.
- 3Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Tianjin Binhai New Area Haibin People's Hospital, Tianjin, China.
- 4Department of Thoracic Surgery, Qinhuangdao First Hospital, Hebei Province, China.
- 5Department of Thoracic Surgery, Tianjin Chest Hospital, No.261, Taierzhuang South Road, Jinnan District, Tianjin, China. lixinchest@tju.edu.cn.
- 6Tianjin Chest Hospital of Tianjin University, Tianjin, China. lixinchest@tju.edu.cn.
- 7Department of Thoracic Surgery, Tianjin Chest Hospital, No.261, Taierzhuang South Road, Jinnan District, Tianjin, China. sdqmd@tju.edu.cn.
- 8Tianjin Chest Hospital of Tianjin University, Tianjin, China. sdqmd@tju.edu.cn.
- 0Department of Thoracic Surgery, Tianjin Chest Hospital, No.261, Taierzhuang South Road, Jinnan District, Tianjin, China.
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September 30, 2025
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View abstract on PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.A new machine learning model accurately predicts tumor spread in early-stage lung adenocarcinoma using CT imaging. This radiomics approach offers a promising tool for personalized treatment strategies, outperforming traditional clinical models.
Area Of Science
- Radiomics and Machine Learning in Oncology
- Quantitative Imaging Analysis
- Thoracic Surgery and Oncology
Background
- Postoperative recurrence in lung adenocarcinoma is high, especially with tumor spread through air spaces.
- Early-stage lung adenocarcinoma necessitates reliable preoperative prediction models for treatment adjustment.
- Current detection and resection methods have limitations in predicting recurrence risk.
Purpose Of The Study
- To develop and validate a preoperative prediction model for tumor spread through air spaces in stage I lung adenocarcinoma.
- To compare the performance of a radiomics-based model with traditional clinical models.
- To integrate quantitative imaging features with clinical data for improved prediction accuracy.
Main Methods
- A multicenter retrospective study involving 609 patients with pathological stage I lung adenocarcinoma.
- Extraction and filtering of quantitative imaging features from CT scans of the primary tumor and peritumoral regions.
- Development of radiomics, clinical, and combined prediction models using machine learning, including elastic net regression.
Main Results
- The radiomics model demonstrated high accuracy (AUC up to 0.829) in predicting tumor spread.
- The combined model integrating imaging and clinical features achieved the highest performance (AUC up to 0.894).
- Radiomics model significantly outperformed the clinical model (AUC 0.807 vs. 0.689).
- Predicted tumor spread correlated with significantly shorter progression-free survival.
Conclusions
- A novel machine learning model integrating radiomics features from tumor and peritumoral regions can preoperatively predict tumor spread in stage I lung adenocarcinoma.
- The developed model shows superior performance compared to traditional clinical models.
- Quantitative imaging analysis holds significant potential for personalizing lung cancer treatment strategies.
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