Lace Index: Predict the High-Risk of 30-Days Readmission of Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction: National

Vasuki Rajaguru1, Whiejong Han2, Suk-Yong Jang1

  • 1Department of Healthcare Management, Graduate School of Public Health, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea.

Insights

The LACE index effectively predicts 30-day readmissions in Korean acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients. Higher LACE scores indicate increased readmission risk, supporting its use in clinical risk stratification.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Health Services Research
  • Predictive Analytics

Background:

  • Readmission after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) presents significant healthcare challenges.
  • The LACE index (Length of stay, Acuity of admission, Comorbidities, Emergency department visits) is a common readmission prediction tool.
  • Its utility in large-scale Korean populations requires further investigation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To validate the predictive performance of the LACE index for 30-day readmissions in AMI patients.
  • To assess the LACE index in a nationally representative Korean cohort.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective cohort study using the Korean National Health Insurance Service Sample (NHISS) database (2011-2020).
  • Included 609,640 adult patients hospitalized for AMI.
  • Calculated LACE index, identified 30-day readmissions, and used logistic regression and ROC analysis for prediction and discrimination assessment.

Main Results:

  • A LACE score of ≥10 significantly increased readmission odds (OR=2.65).
  • Middle-aged adults (35-64) showed elevated readmission risk (OR=3.42).
  • The LACE index demonstrated moderate predictive performance (C-statistic=0.71).

Conclusions:

  • The LACE index is a valuable tool for predicting 30-day readmissions in Korean AMI patients.
  • Its simplicity supports its use in clinical and policy-level risk stratification.
  • Future studies should incorporate additional clinical variables to refine prediction models.
Abstract

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