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Case Clozed: Young Children Can Explicitly Predict Upcoming Words in a Naturalistic, Story-based Cloze Task
Briony Waite1, Anthony Yacovone1,2, Jesse Snedeker1
1Department of Psychology, https://ror.org/03vek6s52Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Journal of Child Language
|October 1, 2025
Summary
Children as young as five can predict upcoming words in stories, showing early language comprehension skills. This ability improves with age, highlighting the development of predictive language processing in early childhood.
Area of Science:
- Developmental Psychology
- Psycholinguistics
- Cognitive Science
Background:
- Language comprehension relies heavily on prediction.
- The developmental trajectory of predictive language abilities in children is not well understood.
- Early prediction skills are crucial for language acquisition and learning.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the emergence and development of lexical prediction in 5- and 6-year-old children.
- To determine if children can use contextual cues to predict upcoming words in a naturalistic setting.
- To assess the feasibility of using a child-friendly cloze task to measure predictive abilities.
Main Methods:
- A novel, naturalistic cloze task was developed for young children.
- 180 predictable and unpredictable words were selected from a storybook based on adult cloze norms.
- Children listened to a story and were prompted to guess the next word.
Main Results:
- Children frequently guessed the target word or a semantically related word, indicating contextual prediction.
- Six-year-olds demonstrated higher accuracy in word prediction compared to 5-year-olds.
- The study successfully collected cloze values from children, validating the task's feasibility.
Conclusions:
- Lexical prediction is present in early childhood, though still developing.
- These findings underscore the importance of prediction in children's language comprehension and learning.
- The developed cloze task provides a viable method for assessing predictive language skills in young children.
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