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Updated: Jan 6, 2026

Catheter Ablation in Combination With Left Atrial Appendage Closure for Atrial Fibrillation
Published on: February 26, 2013
The incidence and risk factor of atrial fibrillation after percutaneous coronary intervention
1Arrhythmia Center, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Beijing, 100037, China.
Insights
New-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) affects 1.1% of patients post-PCI. A simplified model using age and prior PCI effectively predicts AF risk, aiding streamlined stratification.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Clinical Outcomes Research
Background:
- Patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) and atrial fibrillation (AF) face poor prognoses.
- The incidence and predictors of new-onset AF after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) discharge are not well-defined.
- This study aimed to characterize new-onset AF incidence and identify associated risk factors post-PCI.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the incidence of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).
- To identify independent risk factors for developing new-onset AF post-PCI.
- To evaluate the predictive performance of existing risk scores and a simplified model for AF post-PCI.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 8,367 patients undergoing PCI between January and December 2013 was analyzed.
- New-onset AF was defined as AF documented post-discharge, not present during the index hospitalization.
- Cox proportional hazards regression and Fine-Gray competing risk analyses were used to identify risk factors and estimate hazard ratios.
Main Results:
- 1.1% (94/8,367) of patients developed new-onset AF during 3-year follow-up.
- Independent predictors for AF included age > 56.5 years (HR 2.97) and prior PCI (HR 1.73).
- A simplified model using only age and prior PCI showed non-inferior predictive capability compared to the CHARGE-AF score.
Conclusions:
- New-onset AF occurs in 1.1% of patients post-PCI.
- A simplified risk stratification model incorporating age and prior PCI is effective for predicting AF post-PCI.
- This streamlined approach can aid in identifying patients at risk for new-onset AF after PCI.
Background:
Patients with coronary artery disease and atrial fibrillation (AF) have poor clinical outcomes. However, the incidence of new-onset AF occurring after hospital discharge following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) has not been well characterized. The aim of this study was to investigate the incidence and risk factors of AF developing after PCI discharge.
Methods:
Patients undergoing PCI enrolled from January 2013 to December 2013. The primary endpoint was new-onset AF occurring after hospital discharge following PCI, defined as AF documented during follow-up and not present during the index PCI hospitalization. Cox proportional hazards regression models with covariate adjustments, complemented by Fine-Gray competing risk analyses, were employed to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for assessing AF risk factors.
Results:
Among 8,367 patients, 94 (1.1%) developed new-onset AF during 3-year follow-up, with no significant incidence difference between acute/chronic coronary syndromes (1.1% vs. 1.2%, P = 0.59). Age > 56.5 years (HR 2.97, 95%CI 1.72-5.12) and prior PCI (HR 1.73, 95%CI 1.13-2.65) independently predicted AF. Recalibration modestly improved all scores (the Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation score, CHA2DS2-VASc score, Atrial Fibrillation Risk Index, CHARGE-AF score) without statistical significance. CHARGE-AF outperformed other scores (all P < 0.05), while an age/ prior PCI-only model demonstrated non-inferior predictive capability versus CHARGE-AF.
Conclusions:
In this large PCI cohort, a simplified model using only age > 56.5 years and prior PCI demonstrated non-inferior AF prediction compared to the best-performing CHARGE-AF score, supporting streamlined risk stratification for new-onset AF.
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