Predicting the response to immunotherapy from gene expression data in HER2-negative breast cancer

Caterina A M La Porta1,2, Ornella Garrone3, Marco Merlano4

  • 1Departement of Environmental Science and Policy, Center for Complexity and Biosystems, University of Milan, Milan, Italy. caterina.laporta@unimi.it.

Communications Medicine
|October 3, 2025
PubMed
Abstract

Insights

ARIADNE, an algorithm analyzing gene expression, predicts immunotherapy response in HER2- breast cancer patients. It identifies high-risk patients with lower pathological complete response rates, aiding treatment selection.

Area of Science:

  • Oncology
  • Genomics
  • Immunotherapy

Background:

  • Neoadjuvant immunotherapy shows promise for HER2- and triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC).
  • Pathological complete response (pCR) rates vary, necessitating predictive biomarkers.
  • ARIADNE is an algorithm analyzing gene expression from bioptic samples based on epithelial-mesenchymal phenotypes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate ARIADNE's ability to predict immunotherapy response in HER2- breast cancer patients.
  • To assess ARIADNE's performance in stratifying patients based on predicted response to immunotherapy.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized gene expression data from HER2- breast cancer patients in the I-SPY 2 trial.
  • Stratified patients into low/high risk groups using the ARIADNE algorithm score.
  • Analyzed cytokine signatures, PD-L1 pathway interactions, and single-cell data from TNBC patients.

Main Results:

  • ARIADNE predicted differential immunotherapy response: 26% pCR in high-risk vs. 62% in low-risk groups (OR 4.7, p<0.01).
  • Significant correlations found between a cytokine score and pCR rates.
  • ARIADNE's predictive ability linked to PD-L1 pathway activity; responders showed more exhausted T-cells.

Conclusions:

  • ARIADNE is predictive of immunotherapy response, but not chemotherapy response, in HER2- breast cancer.
  • The algorithm aids in identifying patients likely to benefit from neoadjuvant immunotherapy.
  • Further research can explore ARIADNE in broader clinical settings for personalized cancer treatment.