Related Experiment Video
Updated: Jan 15, 2026
08:22
A Preclinical Model of Exertional Heat Stroke in Mice
Published on: July 1, 2021
4.3K
Skillful heat-related mortality forecasting during recent deadly European summers
Emma Holmberg1,2,3, Marcos Quijal-Zamorano4,5,6,7, Joan Ballester4
1Department of Earth Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala 75236, Sweden.
Summary
Europe faces increasing heatwaves, causing thousands of heat-related deaths. This study forecasts mortality using temperature predictions, aiding heat-health warning systems in adapting to a warming climate.
Area of Science:
- Environmental science
- Epidemiology
- Climate change adaptation
Background:
- Europe is experiencing record-breaking heatwaves, with significant heat-related mortality in 2022 and 2023.
- Projected climate change indicates these extreme heat events will become more frequent, necessitating improved public health strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and evaluate a statistical epidemiological framework for forecasting heat-related mortality in Europe.
- To assess the skill of these forecasts in relation to temperature variations during heatwaves.
Main Methods:
- Applied a statistical epidemiological framework to temperature forecasts up to two weeks in advance.
- Focused analysis on the exceptional heatwave summers of 2022 and 2023 in Europe.
- Evaluated the daily heat-related mortality forecast skill and its correlation with temperature.
Main Results:
- Heat-related mortality forecast skill varied across Europe.
- Milder temperatures, near the minimum mortality threshold, were associated with higher forecast skill in most regions.
- Conversely, some of the hottest European regions exhibited enhanced forecast skill at higher temperatures.
Conclusions:
- Heat-related mortality forecasts offer valuable insights, particularly in regions with high heat-related death rates.
- Local health authorities should integrate heat-related mortality forecast information into existing heat warning systems.
- This approach supports societal adaptation to a warming climate and mitigation of heatwave impacts.
Related Concept Videos
01:25Increased Body Temperature
6.4K
A body temperature above 38°C (100.4 °F) is known as fever or pyrexia, and a person with fever is termed 'febrile.' Typically, the hypothalamus, a part of the brain that acts as the body's thermostat, regulates body temperature through a thermoregulatory setpoint. It receives signals from cold and warm thermal receptors throughout the body and adjusts the body's temperature accordingly. Fever occurs when this hypothalamic setpoint is altered, usually in...
6.4K
01:19Homeostatic Imbalances in Body Temperature
4.3K
Hyperthermia occurs when the body's temperature becomes unusually high, often due to heat exposure, intense physical activity, or certain illnesses. This condition can create a dangerous cycle where elevated body temperature increases the metabolic rate, generating more heat and potentially leading to organ failure and brain damage. A severe form of hyperthermia, called heat stroke, can raise body temperature to life-threatening levels. Fever, on the other hand, is a controlled form of...
4.3K
01:22Methods of reducing fever
1.2K
The signs and symptoms of fever include hot and dry skin, flushed face, thirst, muscle aches, anorexia, headache, tachycardia, tachypnea, and fatigue. Elevated body temperature is reduced using two methods: pharmacological and nonpharmacological. Proper identification and treatment of the root cause of a fever is of utmost importance.
Pharmacological Methods of Reducing Fever:
Pharmacological Methods of Reducing Fever:
1.2K
01:28Factors Affecting Body Temperature
8.6K
As a nurse, it is vital to understand the factors affecting body temperature to monitor variations and effectively evaluate deviations from regular.
Factors may include:
Factors may include:
8.6K
01:20Hot Weather Concreting
297
Concreting at elevated temperatures accelerates the hydration process, leading to quicker setting but potentially reducing the long-term strength of the concrete structure. Additionally, low air humidity fosters rapid moisture loss from the concrete, resulting in reduced workability, pronounced plastic shrinkage, and a higher likelihood of crazing.
Mitigating the heat increase in concrete can be economically achieved by shading aggregate stockpiles to prevent heating from solar radiation,...
Mitigating the heat increase in concrete can be economically achieved by shading aggregate stockpiles to prevent heating from solar radiation,...
297
01:29Decreased Body Temperature
1.0K
A decreased body temperature can occur in patients with hypothermia and frostbite. Heat loss with extended cold exposure overpowers the body's ability to create heat, resulting in hypothermia. Core temperature readings help classify hypothermia. Mild hypothermia is temperatures between 32 °C (89.6 °F) and 35°C (95 °F) and is caused by impaired thermoregulation. Moderate hypothermia is temperatures between 28 C (82.4 °F) and 32 °C (89.6 °F) caused by...
1.0K