The economic burden of rheumatic heart disease in the Eastern Mediterranean Region

Khalifa Elmusharaf1, Sébastien Poix2, Emil Basil Scaria3

  • 1Public Health, University of Birmingham Dubai, Dubai, UAE.

BMJ Global Health
|October 8, 2025
PubMed

Insights

Rheumatic heart disease (RHD) poses a significant economic burden in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, costing billions and projected to rise. Urgent, comprehensive strategies are needed to address this growing public health challenge.

Area of Science:

  • Public Health
  • Health Economics
  • Epidemiology

Background:

  • Acute rheumatic fever (ARF) is an immune response to group A Streptococcus (GAS) infections, primarily affecting children.
  • Untreated ARF can lead to rheumatic heart disease (RHD), causing severe cardiac complications like valve stenosis and heart failure.
  • RHD remains a significant health and economic issue in Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) countries despite being preventable.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To estimate the economic burden of ARF, RHD, and related complications in the EMR.
  • To model the future disease burden and associated economic losses under a scenario of inaction.
  • To inform policy and resource allocation for effective RHD mitigation strategies.

Main Methods:

  • Economic analysis using secondary data and existing research from 22 EMR countries.
  • Disease burden modeling considering population growth and structural changes.
  • Assessment of economic losses via direct healthcare costs, premature deaths, absenteeism, and productivity losses.

Main Results:

  • The estimated economic burden of ARF and RHD in the EMR was US$5.8 billion in 2020, representing 0.20% of the combined GDP.
  • Indirect costs constituted 78% of the total economic burden.
  • Projections indicate 192 million prevalent cases and 1.5 million deaths by 2050, with the burden potentially reaching US$166 billion between 2020-2050.

Conclusions:

  • The RHD disease burden is escalating in the EMR, exacerbating health inequalities and straining healthcare resources.
  • Economic evaluations are vital for informed planning and resource allocation to combat RHD.
  • Regional governments must implement multi-faceted interventions including addressing social determinants, enhancing awareness, improving surveillance, and ensuring accessible healthcare.
Abstract

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