Does increasing canopy liana density decrease the tropical forest carbon sink?

The ongoing decline in the American tropical forest carbon sink has serious ramifications for atmospheric carbon levels and global climate change. Increasing liana abundance may explain the decaying carbon sink because lianas reduce canopy tree growth and survival, which limits forest carbon storage. However, canopy lianas, not solely understory lianas, would have to be increasing for this hypothesis to be credible because canopy lianas compete especially intensely with canopy trees. We examined the change in canopy lianas over 10 years on Barro Colorado Island (BCI), Panama to test two main hypotheses. (1) Canopy lianas are increasing on BCI. (2) Increasing canopy lianas decrease aboveground canopy tree and forest carbon storage. We found that canopy liana density increased 8.3% over the 10-year period, and canopy lianas outnumbered canopy trees 3.59-1. There was a clear negative relationship between increasing canopy liana density and decreasing canopy tree carbon storage. Where liana density increased, tree carbon decreased, and where canopy lianas decreased, canopy tree carbon increased. Our findings indicate that lianas are the numerically dominant and diverse woody plant group in the BCI canopy, and this dominance is increasing, reducing forest-level carbon storage and possibly explaining the decaying American tropical forest carbon sink.