Trends in Survival on the Pediatric Heart Transplant Waiting List

Chase Robinson1, Garrett Wortham2, Megan Crawford2

  • 1Department of Student Affairs, Baylor College of Medicine, 1 Baylor Plaza, Houston, TX, 77030, USA. chaserobinson2@gmail.com.

Pediatric Cardiology
|October 10, 2025
PubMed

Insights

Pediatric heart transplant waitlist survival has dramatically improved, increasing from 21.1% to 70.5% over four decades. This progress is linked to better mechanical support and allocation policies for children awaiting heart transplants.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Cardiology
  • Transplant Surgery
  • Medical Device Technology

Background:

  • Pediatric heart failure management has advanced, necessitating updated survival outcome evaluations for children on the heart transplant waiting list.
  • Mechanical circulatory support devices are increasingly used in pediatric patients, impacting waitlist survival.
  • Understanding long-term survival trends is crucial for optimizing care for pediatric heart transplant candidates.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To examine survival rates of pediatric patients (ages 0-18) on the heart transplant waiting list between 1987 and 2023.
  • To identify factors influencing survival outcomes in this population.
  • To assess the impact of advancements in medical care and policy on pediatric heart transplant waitlist survival.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database.
  • Inclusion of 18,536 pediatric candidates (ages 0-18) listed for heart transplant from 1987-2023, excluding those over 18 and combined transplant candidates.
  • Kaplan-Meier survival curves and competing risk analysis models were used to assess survival, with waitlist mortality as the primary outcome.

Main Results:

  • One-year survival for pediatric waitlist candidates significantly improved from 21.1% (1987-1990) to 70.5% (2021-2023) (P < .05).
  • Adjusted analyses demonstrated a consistent reduction in mortality risk across different time eras.
  • Key variables analyzed included BMI, dialysis, ECMO, VADs, and functional status at listing.

Conclusions:

  • Survival for pediatric heart transplant candidates has markedly improved over the study period.
  • Advancements in mechanical support devices and changes in organ allocation policies have contributed to better outcomes.
  • Future research should focus on refining pediatric transplant criteria and further exploring the role of assist devices in enhancing waitlist survival.

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