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Echocardiographic Z-Score to Predict Pulmonary-Systemic Flow Ratio in Children With Atrial Septal Defect.
Naofumi F Sumitomo1,2, Kazuki Kodo1,3, Jun Maeda2
1Department of Pediatrics, Keio University School of Medicine Tokyo Japan.
Circulation Reports
|October 13, 2025
Summary
The average right ventricular Z-score (ARV) can non-invasively predict the pulmonary-to-systemic flow ratio (Qp/Qs) in children with atrial septal defect (ASD). This helps determine the need for surgical closure.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Cardiology
- Echocardiography
- Congenital Heart Disease
Background:
- Atrial septal defect (ASD) is a common congenital heart condition.
- The relationship between right heart enlargement and pulmonary-to-systemic flow ratio (Qp/Qs) in pediatric ASD patients is not fully understood.
- Accurate assessment of Qp/Qs is crucial for guiding treatment decisions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate echocardiographic Z-scores of the right heart in children with ASD.
- To determine if these Z-scores can predict the pulmonary-to-systemic flow ratio (Qp/Qs).
- To identify a potential non-invasive marker for assessing Qp/Qs in pediatric ASD.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective study of 175 children with isolated ASD.
- Echocardiographic parameters were measured and converted to Z-scores.
- Comparison of echocardiographic Z-scores with cardiac catheterization-derived Qp/Qs (cQp/Qs).
Main Results:
- The average right ventricular Z-score (ARV) showed the strongest correlation with cQp/Qs (r=0.63).
- An ARV cut-off of +2.0 effectively predicted a cQp/Qs ≥1.5 (AUC 0.85).
- Regression-predicted cQp/Qs also correlated well with measured cQp/Qs (r=0.63).
Conclusions:
- The average right ventricular Z-score (ARV) is a reliable non-invasive marker for assessing cQp/Qs in children with ASD.
- ARV can aid in determining the indication for ASD closure.
- Echocardiography offers a valuable tool for risk stratification in pediatric ASD.

