Echocardiographic Z-Score to Predict Pulmonary-Systemic Flow Ratio in Children With Atrial Septal Defect

Naofumi F Sumitomo1,2, Kazuki Kodo1,3, Jun Maeda2

  • 1Department of Pediatrics, Keio University School of Medicine Tokyo Japan.

Circulation Reports
|October 13, 2025
PubMed

Insights

The average right ventricular Z-score (ARV) can non-invasively predict the pulmonary-to-systemic flow ratio (Qp/Qs) in children with atrial septal defect (ASD). This helps determine the need for surgical closure.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Cardiology
  • Echocardiography
  • Congenital Heart Disease

Background:

  • Atrial septal defect (ASD) is a common congenital heart condition.
  • The relationship between right heart enlargement and pulmonary-to-systemic flow ratio (Qp/Qs) in pediatric ASD patients is not fully understood.
  • Accurate assessment of Qp/Qs is crucial for guiding treatment decisions.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate echocardiographic Z-scores of the right heart in children with ASD.
  • To determine if these Z-scores can predict the pulmonary-to-systemic flow ratio (Qp/Qs).
  • To identify a potential non-invasive marker for assessing Qp/Qs in pediatric ASD.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective study of 175 children with isolated ASD.
  • Echocardiographic parameters were measured and converted to Z-scores.
  • Comparison of echocardiographic Z-scores with cardiac catheterization-derived Qp/Qs (cQp/Qs).

Main Results:

  • The average right ventricular Z-score (ARV) showed the strongest correlation with cQp/Qs (r=0.63).
  • An ARV cut-off of +2.0 effectively predicted a cQp/Qs ≥1.5 (AUC 0.85).
  • Regression-predicted cQp/Qs also correlated well with measured cQp/Qs (r=0.63).

Conclusions:

  • The average right ventricular Z-score (ARV) is a reliable non-invasive marker for assessing cQp/Qs in children with ASD.
  • ARV can aid in determining the indication for ASD closure.
  • Echocardiography offers a valuable tool for risk stratification in pediatric ASD.
Abstract