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Updated: Jan 15, 2026

A Machine Learning Approach to Design an Efficient Selective Screening of Mild Cognitive Impairment
Published on: January 11, 2020
Population Attributable Fraction for Cognitive Impairment in Mexican American Older Adults
Mellanie V Springer1, Wen Chang2, Steven G Heeringa2
1Department of Neurology and Stroke Program, University of Michigan, 1500 E. Medical Center drive, Ann Arbor, MI, USA. mvsprin@med.umich.edu.
Background:
The contribution of modifiable risk factors to cases of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (AD/ADRD) among Hispanic/Latin (a,o,x) adults is unclear.
Objective:
To determine the population attributable fraction (PAF), the proportion of MCI and AD/ADRD cases that would be eliminated with elimination of modifiable risk factors.
Methods:
This was a cross-sectional analysis nested within a prospective cohort study (2018 - 2023) of Mexican American older adults. Logistic regression estimated the odds of probable MCI or AD/ADRD (defined by education-specific cutoff scores on the Montreal Cognitive Assessment) associated with age, sex, education, medical comorbidities, cigarette smoking, and alcohol consumption. We calculated the PAF for MCI and AD/ADRD associated with individual and combined risk factors.
Results:
Among 1,272 participants, the prevalence of MCI was 48% and of AD/ADRD was 23%. Having no more than a high school education was associated with a PAF for MCI of 17% (95% CI, 10 - 24%) and a PAF for AD/ADRD of 52% (95% CI, 40 - 64%). Heart disease and diabetes were each associated with a PAF for MCI of 5% (95% CI, 3 - 7% and 95% CI, 1 - 10% respectively). A history of stroke was associated with a PAF for AD/ADRD of 7% (95% CI, 3 - 11%). The elimination of all modifiable risk factors was associated with 28% of MCI and 55% of AD/ADRD cases.
Discussion:
Low educational attainment and cardiovascular comorbidities greatly contribute to cases of MCI and AD/ADRD among Mexican American adults.
Insights
Low education and heart conditions significantly increase mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and Alzheimer's disease (AD/ADRD) cases in Mexican American adults. Addressing these factors could prevent over half of AD/ADRD cases.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Public Health
- Gerontology
Background:
- The impact of modifiable risk factors on mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (AD/ADRD) in Hispanic/Latin (a,o,x) adults remains unclear.
- Understanding these contributions is crucial for targeted prevention strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the population attributable fraction (PAF) for MCI and AD/ADRD.
- To quantify the proportion of cases potentially eliminated by addressing modifiable risk factors.
Main Methods:
- Cross-sectional analysis within a prospective cohort of Mexican American older adults (2018-2023).
- Logistic regression used to assess odds of probable MCI/ADRD based on education, comorbidities, smoking, and alcohol use.
- PAF calculated for individual and combined modifiable risk factors.
Main Results:
- Prevalence of MCI was 48% and AD/ADRD was 23% in 1,272 participants.
- Low educational attainment showed a PAF of 17% for MCI and 52% for AD/ADRD.
- Cardiovascular factors (heart disease, diabetes, stroke) and elimination of all factors were associated with significant PAFs for MCI and AD/ADRD.
Conclusions:
- Low educational attainment and cardiovascular comorbidities are major contributors to MCI and AD/ADRD in Mexican American adults.
- Interventions targeting these modifiable risk factors could substantially reduce the burden of cognitive decline in this population.
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