Machine learning prediction of multidrug-resistant urinary tract infections in brain and spinal cord injury patients:

Su Ji Lee1, Hangyul Yoon2, Ji Cheol Shin1

  • 1Department and Research Institute of Rehabilitation Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, the Republic of Korea.

Abstract

Insights

A new machine learning model can predict multidrug-resistant urinary tract infections (MDR UTIs) in patients with brain and spinal cord injuries. This tool aids in early risk stratification and antibiotic stewardship in neurorehabilitation.

Area of Science:

  • Medical Informatics
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Neurology

Background:

  • Multidrug-resistant urinary tract infections (MDR UTIs) pose a significant threat to patients with brain and spinal cord injuries.
  • These patients exhibit increased susceptibility to UTIs and frequent antibiotic exposure, exacerbating the MDR UTI problem.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and externally validate a machine learning model for predicting MDR UTIs in individuals with brain and spinal cord injuries.
  • To identify key predictors for MDR UTIs in this vulnerable patient population.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of 849 patients with brain or spinal cord injuries and culture-confirmed UTIs.
  • Development and evaluation of five machine learning and ensemble models using single-institution training data and external test sets.
  • Performance assessment via accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, predictive values, and AUC.

Main Results:

  • An ensemble model combining Naive Bayes and Random Forest achieved an AUC of 0.8425.
  • The model demonstrated good predictive performance with an accuracy of 0.7688 and a negative predictive value of 0.9360.
  • Key predictors included recent antibiotic use, Functional Independence Measure score, neutrophil-to-platelet ratio, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, and indwelling urethral catheter.

Conclusions:

  • The externally validated machine learning model shows consistent performance across different institutions.
  • This model can aid in the early risk stratification of MDR UTIs in patients with neurological injuries.
  • Early identification of high-risk patients can optimize antibiotic stewardship in neurorehabilitation settings.

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