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Uncertainty quantification and explainable AI in orthopaedic imaging: A timely call to action.
Ahmad P Tafti1,2,3, Qiangqiang Gu3, Johannes F Plate4
1School of Health and Rehabilitation Sciences, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.
Journal of Clinical Orthopaedics and Trauma
|October 15, 2025
Summary
Artificial intelligence (AI) in orthopaedics needs more than accuracy. Integrating uncertainty quantification and explainable AI is crucial for trustworthy AI, ensuring safer clinical adoption and improved patient outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Orthopaedic Imaging
- Artificial Intelligence
- Medical AI
Background:
- Deep learning models show high accuracy in orthopaedic imaging tasks like fracture detection and osteoarthritis grading.
- Clinical trust and adoption of AI in orthopaedics are hindered because accuracy alone is insufficient.
- Current AI models often lack transparency, providing predictions without explaining reasoning or quantifying uncertainty.
Purpose of the Study:
- To advocate for the integration of uncertainty quantification and explainable AI in orthopaedic imaging.
- To highlight the necessity of these advancements for clinical trust and safe adoption.
- To bridge the gap between AI innovation and practical orthopaedic workflows.
Main Methods:
- Discusses the role of uncertainty quantification in identifying unreliable AI predictions.
- Explains how explainable AI (XAI) techniques enhance transparency in AI model reasoning.
- Emphasizes the combined potential of these methods for trustworthy AI.
Main Results:
- Uncertainty quantification can prompt confirmatory testing or human oversight for AI predictions.
- Explainable AI enables surgeons and radiologists to better interpret AI outputs.
- The integration of these methods moves AI beyond accuracy towards accountability.
Conclusions:
- Uncertainty-aware and explainable AI are essential for trustworthy AI in orthopaedics.
- These advancements are critical for the safe integration of AI into clinical practice.
- The orthopaedic community must act now to embrace these crucial AI components.
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