Intelligent Counter-UAV Threat Detection Using Hierarchical Fuzzy Decision-Making and Sensor Fusion

This paper proposes an intelligent hierarchical fuzzy decision-making framework for threat detection and identification in Counter-Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (Counter-UAV) systems, based on the fusion of heterogeneous sensor data. To address the increasing complexity and ambiguity in modern UAV threats, this study introduces a novel three-stage fuzzy inference architecture that supports adaptive sensor evaluation and optimal pairing. The proposed methodology consists of three-layered Fuzzy Inference Systems (FIS): FIS-A quantifies sensor effectiveness based on UAV flight altitude and detection probability; FIS-B assesses operational suitability using sensor range and cost; and FIS-C synthesizes both outputs, along with sensor capability overlap, to determine the composite suitability of sensor pairs. This hierarchical structure enables detailed analysis and system-level optimization, reflecting real-world constraints and performance trade-offs. Simulation-based evaluation using diverse sensor modalities (EO/IR, Radar, Acoustic, RF), supported by empirical data and literature, demonstrates the framework's ability to handle uncertainty, enhance detection reliability, and support cost-effective sensor deployment in Counter-UAV operations. The framework's modularity, scalability, and interpretability represent significant advancements in intelligent Counter-UAV system design, offering a transferable methodology for dynamic threat environments.