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Published on: January 28, 2020
CCL17 as an Inflammatory Biomarker Enhances Cardiovascular Risk Stratification: a Prospective Cohort Study
Zeyuan Wang1, Xiaoyu Ren1, Yang Lu1
1Department of Cardiology, State Key Laboratory of Complex Severe and Rare Diseases, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China.
Insights
Inflammation
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular disease research
- Biomarker discovery
- Inflammation and immunology
Background:
- Inflammation is a significant factor in cardiovascular disease (CVD).
- Current risk models like China-PAR and PCE often fail to accurately identify intermediate-risk individuals.
- There is a need for improved cardiovascular risk assessment strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the potential of the inflammatory chemokine CCL17 as a biomarker for cardiovascular risk prediction.
- To determine if incorporating CCL17 levels can enhance the accuracy of existing cardiovascular risk models.
- To assess the clinical utility of CCL17 in identifying high-risk individuals for cardiovascular events.
Main Methods:
- Prospective cohort study design utilizing the Shunyi Cohort (China) and the UK Biobank.
- Quantification of baseline CCL17 levels in participants.
- Tracking of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) during follow-up periods.
Main Results:
- Elevated CCL17 levels were independently associated with an increased risk of MACEs.
- Integration of CCL17 into existing risk models significantly improved risk prediction accuracy and reclassification, especially for intermediate-risk individuals.
- The Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI) indicated substantial predictive enhancement (15.1% in Shunyi; 3.0% in UK Biobank).
Conclusions:
- CCL17 demonstrates potential as a valuable biomarker for cardiovascular risk assessment.
- Incorporating CCL17 can refine current cardiovascular risk models, enabling earlier and more precise identification of high-risk individuals.
- CCL17 may facilitate precision prevention strategies by augmenting cardiovascular risk stratification.
Abstract:
Inflammation is a key contributor to cardiovascular disease (CVD), yet existing risk models such as Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China (China-PAR) and Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE) inadequately identify individuals at intermediate risk. We investigated whether incorporating the inflammatory chemokine CCL17 could improve cardiovascular risk prediction. In two prospective cohorts-the Shunyi Cohort (n = 706, China) and the UK Biobank (n = 36,097, UK)-baseline CCL17 levels were quantified, and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) were tracked over follow-up. Elevated CCL17 levels were independently associated with increased risk of MACEs. Integrating CCL17 into existing models significantly improved discrimination and reclassification, particularly among intermediate-risk individuals (e.g., NRI: 15.1% in Shunyi; 3.0% in UK Biobank). This biomarker-based refinement enabled earlier identification of clinically significant high-risk individuals. These findings suggest that CCL17 is a promising translational biomarker that may enhance precision prevention by augmenting current cardiovascular risk assessment strategies.
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