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Published on: April 13, 2013
Identifying Clinical Predictors of Raised Intracranial Pressure in Pediatric Traumatic Brain Injury-A Multinational
Noah Xin Ying Yeo1, Hui Jun Zhou2, Jan Hau Lee3,4
1Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore, Singapore.
Insights
Intracranial pressure monitoring in pediatric traumatic brain injury is inconsistent. A new prediction model showed limited sensitivity for identifying elevated intracranial pressure in children with TBI.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric critical care medicine
- Neurotrauma research
- Clinical prediction modeling
Background:
- Intracranial pressure (ICP) monitoring use varies in pediatric traumatic brain injury (TBI).
- Clinical prediction models for raised ICP exist for adults but lack validation in pediatric TBI.
- Identifying predictors for raised ICP is crucial for managing pediatric TBI.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate clinical predictors of raised ICP in pediatric TBI.
- To derive and validate a clinical prediction model for raised ICP in pediatric TBI patients.
Main Methods:
- A real-world observational study across international pediatric intensive care units.
- Included children (<18 years) with moderate-to-severe TBI (2014-2022).
- Defined raised ICP as >20 mmHg; used multivariable logistic regression and AUC for model assessment.
Main Results:
- Only 21.4% of 706 pediatric TBI patients received ICP monitoring; 49.7% of those monitored had raised ICP.
- Mortality was higher in non-monitored patients (13.2%) compared to those with raised ICP (8.0%) or normal ICP (4.0%).
- The derived prediction model (sex, GCS motor score, leukocytosis, thrombocytopenia, skull fracture) had 56.0% sensitivity and 73.7% AUC for raised ICP.
Conclusions:
- Clinical predictors for raised ICP in pediatric TBI were identified.
- The developed prediction model demonstrated limited sensitivity for detecting raised ICP.
- Future research should focus on large-scale prospective studies stratifying predictors by intracranial pathologies.
Abstract:
Use of the intracranial pressure (ICP) monitor in pediatric traumatic brain injury (TBI) remains variable. Clinical prediction models of raised ICP have been reported in adult TBI but have not been validated in pediatric TBI. We aimed to investigate clinical predictors and derive a prediction model for raised ICP in pediatric patients with TBI. A real-world observational study was conducted among pediatric intensive care units from the Pediatric Acute & Critical Care Medicine Asian Network and Red Colaborativa Pediátrica de Latinoamerica. Children <18 years with moderate-to-severe TBI and who were hospitalized between 2014 and 2022 were included. We defined raised ICP as >20 mmHg. Multivariable logistic regression models were built to identify significant predictors for raised ICP, and performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Among 706 pediatric patients, only 151 (21.4%) had ICP monitoring, and 75 (49.7%) were confirmed to have raised ICP. Mortality was 13.2%, 8.0%, and 4.0% for patients who did not receive ICP monitoring, those with raised ICP, and those with normal ICP, respectively (p = 0.037). A model predicting for raised ICP comprising sex, Glasgow Coma Scale motor score, leukocytosis, thrombocytopenia, and skull fracture on computed tomography performed with a sensitivity, specificity, and AUC of 56.0% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 44.8%-67.2%), 75.0% (95% CI: 65.3%-84.7%), and 73.7% (95% CI: 65.7%-81.6%), respectively. We report clinical predictors associated with raised ICP in pediatric TBI. The clinical prediction model was not sensitive, and future large-scale prospective studies should stratify predictors by specific intracranial pathologies.
Related Concept Videos
Traumatic Brain Injury l: Introduction
Increased Intracranial Pressure l: Introduction
Increased Intracranial Pressure ll: Pathophysiology
Cerebral Edema ll: Pathophysiology

