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Modeling value integration during decision making under uncertainty with the Florida and Georgia gambling task
Shensheng Wang1, Robert C Wilson2, Natalie C Ebner3,4
1Department of Psychology, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL, USA.
Cognitive biases impact decisions under uncertainty. A new gambling task revealed people underweight outliers and favor recent outcomes, but showed no loss aversion.
Area of Science:
- Cognitive Psychology
- Decision Science
- Behavioral Economics
Background:
- Human decision-making under uncertainty is influenced by cognitive biases.
- Understanding how biases affect value integration in choices is crucial.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the influence of cognitive biases on decision-making value integration.
- To introduce and validate the Florida-And-Georgia (FLAG) gambling task.
Main Methods:
- Developed the novel Florida-And-Georgia (FLAG) gambling task.
- Participants chose between variable outcomes and a sure-thing offer.
- Modeled value integration influenced by learning (primacy-recency) and Prospect Theory factors (outliers, loss aversion).
Main Results:
- Individuals underweight outliers for both gains and losses.
- Decision-making was biased by recent outcomes (recency effect).
- No evidence of loss aversion was found in the study population.
Conclusions:
- The FLAG task balances experimental control with ecological validity for studying decision-making.
- Findings provide insights into cognitive processes like outlier sensitivity and recency bias.
- The FLAG task has potential societal and clinical applications for understanding decision biases.
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