Recording and communicating uncertainty in science: how geologists manage variability in spatial data

  • 0Collaborative Robotics and Intelligent Systems Institute, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, USA. cristina.wilson@oregonstate.edu.

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Summary

This summary is machine-generated.

Geologists’ tolerance for data variability influences what observations become data. Despite this, scientists can accurately infer information even from highly variable geological data.

Area Of Science

  • Geosciences
  • Data Science
  • Scientific Methodology

Background

  • Scientific inference relies on managing data variability.
  • In observational geology, variability influences data recording and publication decisions.
  • High variability may lead to observations being disregarded.

Purpose Of The Study

  • Assess how data variability affects geologists' decisions to record and publish observations.
  • Investigate geologists' ability to make inferences from variable data.
  • Examine the impact of variability levels on inference accuracy.

Main Methods

  • Conducted three experiments with 97 geologists.
  • Presented geologists with geological data on planar feature orientation with manipulated variability.
  • Assessed willingness to record/publish data and accuracy of orientation estimates.

Main Results

  • Significant individual differences in variability tolerance were observed.
  • High-criterion geologists were less likely to record/publish variable data.
  • Low-criterion geologists were more willing to record/publish variable data.
  • Geologists accurately estimated orientations from variable data, irrespective of variability level.

Conclusions

  • Geologists' criteria for data variability impact data recording and publication.
  • Scientists may avoid publishing variable data even when accurate inferences are possible.
  • Understanding variability tolerance is crucial for data sharing and scientific progress.

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