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Estimating Accelerated Retinal Decline in Mental Health Disorders Through Normative Modeling
Foivos Georgiadis1,2, Finn Rabe1, Nils Kallen1
1Department of Adult Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Psychiatric Hospital, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland, 8006 Zurich, Switzerland.
Schizophrenia Bulletin
|October 27, 2025
Summary
Major mental health disorders, including schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, and major depressive disorder, are linked to accelerated retinal thinning. Normative modeling reveals this decline, particularly in schizophrenia, compared to healthy individuals.
Area of Science:
- Ophthalmology
- Neuroscience
- Psychiatry
Background:
- Retinal tissue is thinner in individuals with mental health disorders compared to healthy controls.
- Previous studies often examined group-level differences, neglecting biological variability and hindering transdiagnostic comparisons.
- Normative modeling offers a method to account for expected biological variation and compare age-related decline across disorders.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate age-related retinal decline using normative modeling in a large healthy cohort.
- To compare retinal decline in individuals with schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, and major depressive disorder against normative data.
- To test the hypothesis of accelerated retinal decline in mental health disorders, with schizophrenia most affected.
Main Methods:
- Utilized UK Biobank data from 51,225 healthy controls (age 40-70) to establish normative age-related retinal thickness decline.
- Analyzed macular thickness and 8 sublayers, comparing decline in schizophrenia (n=170), bipolar disorder (n=263), and major depressive disorder (n=95) to healthy controls.
- Adjusted for known confounding variables to ensure robust comparisons.
Main Results:
- Age-related retinal decline showed a curve-like pattern in healthy controls, more pronounced in males.
- Individuals with mental health disorders exhibited significantly more pronounced retinal thinning, especially in schizophrenia and specific macular subfields.
- An enrichment of infranormal retinal thickness values was observed in the patient groups.
Conclusions:
- Major mental health disorders, particularly schizophrenia, are associated with accelerated retinal thinning.
- Normative modeling effectively detects these accelerated declines, highlighting potential biomarkers.
- Findings suggest a link between psychiatric conditions and ocular structural changes.

