Prediction of SF6 Replacement Gases Based on Machine Learning
Guocheng Ding1, Wei Liu1, Mengxuan Ling2
1Electric Power Research Institute, State Grid Anhui Electric Power Co., Ltd., Hefei, Anhui 230601, P. R. China.
ACS Omega
|October 27, 2025
Summary
Machine learning models accurately predict the Global Warming Potential (GWP) of SF6 alternatives by analyzing atmospheric lifetime and radiative efficiency. This enables high-throughput screening of environmentally safer gases for industrial applications.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Chemistry
- Computational Chemistry
- Materials Science
Background:
- Global Warming Potential (GWP) is critical for evaluating SF6 alternatives.
- Radiative efficiency (RE) and atmospheric lifetime (τ) determine a gas's GWP.
- High-throughput screening is needed for identifying suitable SF6 replacement gases.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and optimize machine learning (ML) models for predicting GWP, τ, and RE.
- To explore correlations between molecular descriptors and GWP parameters.
- To screen potential SF6 replacement gases using developed ML models.
Main Methods:
- Utilized six modified machine learning methods, including Histogram Gradient Boosting Regression, Gradient Boosting Regression, and Extreme Tree.
- Employed molecular descriptors to analyze the relationships influencing τ and RE.
- Applied trained models to screen 853 molecules from the QuanDB dataset for GWP100.
Main Results:
- Optimal ML models achieved high accuracy (R2 > 0.90) for predicting GWP, τ, and RE.
- Identified highest occupied molecular orbitals and their energy gap as key molecular descriptors influencing τ and RE.
- Screened 853 molecules, identifying six promising SF6 replacement candidates with desirable properties.
Conclusions:
- Developed accurate ML models for predicting GWP and its key parameters, facilitating efficient screening of SF6 alternatives.
- Provided insights into the molecular-level factors governing the environmental impact of gases.
- Identified specific low-GWP SF6 alternatives with favorable physical and electrical properties.
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