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Published on: August 9, 2024
Polygenic Risk Score for Coronary Artery Disease Across the Spectrum of Atherosclerotic Disease
Andre Zimerman1,2, Frederick K Kamanu3, Giorgio E M Melloni3
1Academic Research Organization, Hospital Moinhos de Vento, Moinhos de Vento College of Health Sciences, Porto Alegre, Brazil.
Insights
Polygenic risk scores for coronary artery disease (CAD) help predict heart events across all stages of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). While genetics show a stronger relative effect in those without ASCVD, the absolute risk increase is similar for all patients.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Genetics
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Polygenic risk scores (PRS) for coronary artery disease (CAD) are valuable for risk stratification.
- The differential utility of CAD PRS across the spectrum of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) remains unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the association of a CAD PRS with incident coronary events in patients with established ASCVD, ASCVD without a prior event, and without overt ASCVD.
Main Methods:
- A genome-wide CAD PRS was used to categorize 59,905 participants from 6 multinational cardiovascular trials into low, intermediate, and high genetic risk groups.
- Participants were grouped by ASCVD status: with a prior ischemic event, ASCVD without an event, and without overt ASCVD.
- The primary endpoint was a composite of major coronary events, including death from coronary disease, myocardial infarction, or coronary revascularization.
Main Results:
- Major coronary events were more frequent in high and intermediate genetic risk groups compared to the low genetic risk group (HRs 2.06 and 1.57, respectively).
- The association between genetic risk and major coronary events was strongest in patients without overt ASCVD (HR 4.63 for high vs. low risk).
- The absolute risk difference for major coronary events between high and low genetic risk was comparable across all ASCVD categories, ranging from 5.0% to 7.0% at 3 years.
Conclusions:
- A CAD PRS is associated with incident major coronary events across all categories of ASCVD.
- While PRS demonstrate a stronger relative risk association in individuals without established ASCVD, the absolute risk increase is similar regardless of ASCVD status.
Aims:
Coronary artery disease (CAD) polygenic risk scores (PRS) enhance risk stratification, but it is unknown whether the degree varies across the spectrum of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). We compared the association of a CAD PRS and coronary events in patients with ASCVD and a prior ischemic event, ASCVD without event, and without overt ASCVD.
Methods:
Genotyped patients from 6 multinational cardiovascular trials were categorized into low (bottom 20%), intermediate (middle 60%), and high (top 20%) genetic risk using a genome-wide CAD PRS, then grouped by ASCVD status. The primary endpoint was any major coronary event, a composite of death from coronary disease, myocardial infarction, or coronary revascularization.
Results:
59,905 participants (mean age, 66 years; 71% male) were included; 47,456 (79%) had established ASCVD. Compared with low genetic risk, major coronary events were more frequent in high (HR, 2.06; 95%CI, 1.88-2.24; p<0.001) and intermediate (HR, 1.57; 95%CI, 1.45-1.70; p<0.001) genetic risk. Genetic risk was more strongly associated with major coronary events in patients without overt ASCVD (HR between high vs. low genetic risk, 4.63) than patients with ASCVD without (HR, 1.73) or with an ischemic event (HR, 1.63) (Pinteraction<0.001). Absolute risk difference between high and low genetic risk was comparable across ASCVD categories (5.0-7.0% difference at 3 years).
Conclusion:
A CAD PRS was associated with incident major coronary events in all ASCVD categories. Although genetics provided the strongest relative association in patients without established ASCVD, the absolute risk gradient was comparable for patients with and without ASCVD.
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