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Integrated groundwater quality assessment using geochemical modelling and machine learning approach in Northern India
Raisul Islam1, Alok Sinha2, Athar Hussain3
1Department of Civil Engineering, GLA University, Mathura, India.
Scientific Reports
|October 29, 2025
Summary
Groundwater in Kasganj, India, shows critical contamination, with high TDS and fluoride levels making most water unfit for drinking. Advanced machine learning models confirmed significant pollution, necessitating urgent water management and remediation efforts.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Hydrogeology
- Water Resource Management
Background:
- Groundwater is vital for drinking and agriculture but faces increasing contamination risks.
- Kasganj, Uttar Pradesh, India, relies heavily on groundwater resources.
- Assessing groundwater quality is crucial for public health and sustainable agriculture.
Purpose of the Study:
- To comprehensively assess groundwater quality in Kasganj, Uttar Pradesh, India.
- To evaluate the suitability of groundwater for drinking and irrigation purposes.
- To apply advanced machine learning techniques for hydrochemical analysis and water quality prediction.
Main Methods:
- Collected 115 groundwater samples from 23 locations for analysis of 12 water quality parameters.
- Utilized Water Quality Indexing (WQI) and Irrigation Water Quality Indexing (IWQI) techniques.
- Employed Piper diagram analysis, mineral saturation indices, and machine learning models (ANN, RF, XGB) for data interpretation and prediction.
Main Results:
- High levels of Total Dissolved Solids (TDS) and fluoride were detected, with fluoride exceeding WHO limits in many samples.
- 60.87% of groundwater samples were unfit for drinking based on WQI, and 26.08% were rated as relatively poor.
- Geochemical analysis indicated Ca-Mg-Cl hydrochemical facies and oversaturation of calcite, dolomite, and aragonite, linked to high TDS.
- Machine learning models, particularly Random Forest (RF), demonstrated high accuracy in predicting WQI.
Conclusions:
- Groundwater in the Kasganj area is critically polluted, posing significant risks to human health and agriculture.
- The study highlights the urgent need for targeted remediation strategies and effective water resource management plans.
- Advanced machine learning models offer a powerful tool for understanding hydrogeochemical processes and forecasting water quality.
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