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Neural Network-Based Prediction of Post-Operative Visual Outcomes Following Secondary Pediatric Intraocular Lens
Andrew Farah1, Raheem Remtulla2, Robert K Koenekoop3,4
1Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, McGill University, Montreal, QC H3G 2M1, Canada.
Objectives:
To develop a proof-of-concept machine learning (ML) neural network model to predict post-operative visual outcomes in children with congenital cataracts undergoing intraocular lens (IOL) implantation, thereby guiding the optimal timing for IOL insertion. Determining the ideal timing and predicting outcomes for IOL implantation in children remains clinically complex due to variability in eye development and measurement accuracy.
Methods:
Retrospective analysis using a publicly available dataset from 110 children diagnosed with congenital cataracts, who underwent IOL implantation at the Eye and ENT Hospital of Fudan University. A neural network model with a hidden layer of 10 nodes was developed in MATLAB 2024a using the scaled conjugate gradient algorithm. Input variables included demographic and clinical features; the target was achieving visual acuity greater than 20/40. Performance metrics were evaluated using cross-entropy loss, sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy.
Results:
Training completed after 14 epochs with the test set reaching the highest performance metrics: 88.2% accuracy, 88.9% sensitivity, and 87.5% specificity. ROC curve analysis showed AUC values of 0.942 (training), 0.920 (validation), 0.885 (test), and 0.917 (overall).
Conclusions:
The neural network effectively predicted post-operative visual outcomes, offering potential clinical utility in guiding IOL implantation decisions. Despite limitations in dataset diversity, this study lays the foundation for future development of personalized strategies in pediatric cataract care.
