Molecular Testing and Surgical Outcomes in Bethesda III and IV Thyroid Nodules: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Background: Bethesda III and IV thyroid nodules, which fall under the category of indeterminate cytology, pose challenges in clinical decision-making due to their ambiguous risk of malignancy. Molecular testing has been increasingly employed to aid risk stratification and optimize the extent of surgical intervention. Methods: A retrospective review of 410 patients with Bethesda III and IV thyroid nodules who underwent thyroid surgery at McGill University teaching hospitals between January 2016 and April 2022. Patients were grouped based on whether or not they underwent preoperative molecular testing. Data were collected on demographic variables, histopathologic diagnosis, mutation profiles, and surgical outcomes. The primary outcome was to assess for concordance between surgical intervention and final pathology in both groups, with a focus on identifying optimal versus suboptimal management. Optimal management is defined as surgery appropriate to the aggressiveness of disease, meaning a hemi-thyroidectomy for a non-aggressive malignancy, total thyroidectomy for an aggressive malignancy, and no surgery for a benign nodule. Furthermore, suboptimal management includes unnecessary surgery or incorrect surgery for the level of aggressivity of the nodule. Results: Among the 410 patients, 203 underwent molecular testing, while 207 did not. Of those who underwent molecular testing, 117 had Bethesda III nodules and 86 had Bethesda IV nodules. In the non-tested group, 129 and 78 patients had Bethesda III and IV nodules, respectively. Optimal surgical intervention was achieved in 67.5% of patients who underwent molecular testing, compared with 25.1% in those who did not (p < 0.001). Subgroup analysis revealed that 61.5% of Bethesda III nodules with molecular testing received optimal care versus 21.0% of those without testing. In the Bethesda IV cohort, optimal surgery was achieved in 75.6% with testing versus 32.1% without. Among the suboptimally managed patients, 70.1% (155/221) were from the group that did not undergo molecular testing. In addition, molecular testing identified aggressive mutations such as BRAF V600E and TERT promoter mutations more frequently in Bethesda III nodules, while RAS-like mutations, associated with indolent behavior, predominated in Bethesda IV nodules. Conclusions: In this study, molecular testing significantly improved risk stratification and the likelihood of optimal surgical management in patients with Bethesda III and IV thyroid nodules. Incorporating molecular diagnostics into the standard preoperative workflow may enhance patient care, reduce unnecessary surgeries, and optimize the extent of surgery. Future studies should evaluate the cost-effectiveness and broader implementation of molecular testing in diverse healthcare settings.