Predictive Value of Baseline Left Ventricular Global Longitudinal Strain for Cardiac Dysfunction in Patients with...

Background: Anthracycline-based chemotherapy is associated with a risk of cancer therapy-related cardiac dysfunction (CTRCD), particularly in patients with moderate to high cardiovascular risk. Left ventricular global longitudinal strain (GLS) is a sensitive marker for early myocardial dysfunction, but the prognostic value of baseline GLS in this population remains unclear. Objective: We aimed to evaluate whether baseline GLS can predict CTRCD in moderate- to high-risk cancer patients undergoing anthracycline chemotherapy. Methods: In this prospective, single-center observational study, 80 anthracycline-naive cancer patients classified as moderate or high risk were enrolled. Baseline GLS was assessed via speckle-tracking echocardiography, with a threshold of ≥-18% considered decreased. Patients were followed for 12 months, and the primary endpoint was the development of CTRCD per ESC 2022 Cardio-oncology guidelines. Results: Of the 77 patients completing follow-up, 27.3% had decreased baseline GLS. CTRCD occurred in 62.4% of patients, with higher incidence among those with decreased GLS (76.7%) compared to those with normal GLS. In multivariable analysis, GLS ≥-18% was the only significant independent predictor of CTRCD (RR 12.0, 95% CI 2.0-71.9; p = 0.0065). All-cause mortality was also significantly higher in patients with decreased baseline GLS (19.1% vs. 1.8%, p = 0.018). Conclusions: Decreased baseline global longitudinal strain is an independent predictor of cancer therapy-related cardiac dysfunction and all-cause mortality in moderate- to high-risk patients receiving anthracycline therapy. These findings support the inclusion of baseline GLS in pre-treatment cardiovascular risk assessment, particularly in patients with an LVEF above 54%, to more effectively identify those who may benefit from early cardioprotective interventions.