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Coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic related changes in pediatric patient numbers in Tokushima, Japan
Ayumu Tominaga1, Yoshiro Mori1, Kazumi Nakagawa1
1Department of Public Health, Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, Tokushima University, Tokushima, Japan.
Insights
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly reduced pediatric inpatient visits and outpatient visits in Tokushima, Japan. Inpatient numbers saw a larger decrease, impacting children
Area of Science:
- Pediatric healthcare utilization
- Epidemiology of infectious diseases
- Public health policy impact
Background:
- The COVID-19 pandemic has profoundly affected global healthcare systems.
- Understanding its impact on pediatric care is crucial for public health planning.
- Previous studies indicate varied effects on healthcare access and utilization.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on pediatric inpatient and outpatient visits.
- To analyze changes in healthcare utilization among children under 15 in Tokushima Prefecture, Japan.
- To compare pre-pandemic (FY2019) and pandemic (FY2020) healthcare-seeking behaviors.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of medical claims data for children (<15 years) insured by National Health Insurance in Tokushima.
- Calculation of mean monthly inpatient and outpatient visits per 1,000 children for FY2019 and FY2020.
- Use of multivariable negative binomial regression to determine incident rate ratios (IRRs).
Main Results:
- A significant decrease in pediatric inpatient visits was observed during FY2020 (IRR=0.58, p<0.05).
- Pediatric outpatient visits showed a non-significant decrease during FY2020 (IRR=0.79, p>0.05).
- The reduction in inpatient visits was more pronounced than that for outpatient visits.
Conclusions:
- The COVID-19 pandemic led to a notable decline in pediatric healthcare utilization, particularly for inpatient services.
- Findings suggest altered healthcare-seeking behaviors and reduced medical service use among children during the pandemic.
- Further research is needed to understand long-term effects and inform pediatric healthcare strategies.
Abstract:
In this study, we aimed to investigate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the number of pediatric inpatients and outpatients visiting medical institutions in Tokushima Prefecture, Japan. We evaluated medical claims data of individuals aged <15 years insured by the National Health Insurance. We calculated the mean and 95% confidence interval (CI) of the monthly number of inpatient and outpatient medical claims per 1,000 children for fiscal year 2019 (FY2019), the pre-pandemic period, and fiscal year 2020 (FY2020), the pandemic period. The mean monthly number of inpatients aged <15 years (per 1,000 children) was 27.6 (95% CI:24.7-30.4) in FY2019 and 16.9 (95% CI:14.9-18.9) in FY2020. For outpatients, the corresponding numbers were 638.1 (95% CI:610.6-665.6) in FY2019 and 501.1 (95% CI:471.0-531.0) in FY2020. We applied multivariable negative binomial regression to calculate incident rate ratios (IRRs). The inpatient IRR was 0.58 (95% CI:0.42-0.80), showing a significant decrease, while the outpatient IRR was 0.79 (95% CI:0.57-1.09), showing no significant difference from FY2019. These results suggest that pediatric inpatient and outpatient visits decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic, with a larger impact observed for inpatients. The pandemic likely influenced healthcare-seeking behavior and medical service utilization among children. J. Med. Invest. 72 : 401-407, August, 2025.
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