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A hybrid AI approach for predicting academic performance in RBE students.
Willy Gonzales1, Zindel Cordero1, Carlos D Abanto-Ramírez1
1Escuela de Posgrado, Universidad Peruana Unión, Lima, Peru.
Frontiers in Artificial Intelligence
|November 6, 2025
Summary
This study introduces a machine learning approach to predict student performance in private denominational basic education. An ensemble model combining deep learning and machine learning achieved superior accuracy, offering a valuable decision-support tool.
Area of Science:
- Educational Technology
- Artificial Intelligence in Education
- Machine Learning Applications
Background:
- Machine learning (ML) is increasingly used in higher education for data analysis.
- Limited research exists on ML for predicting academic performance in basic education, especially in private denominational institutions.
- This gap highlights an opportunity to develop predictive models for these specific educational settings.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose a novel predictive approach using machine learning techniques for regular basic education.
- To develop a decision-support tool to aid in educational planning and intervention within private denominational schools.
- To evaluate the effectiveness of various ML and deep learning models for performance prediction.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of multiple machine learning models: Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine, and Random Forest.
- Evaluation of deep learning models: AlexNet, Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), and Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit (Bi-GRU).
- Development and assessment of ensemble models combining ML and deep learning techniques.
Main Results:
- The Ensemble model, integrating deep learning and machine learning, demonstrated superior performance.
- Key performance metrics including accuracy, precision, and sensitivity were significantly higher in the Ensemble model.
- Comparative analysis showed the Ensemble approach outperforming individual ML and deep learning models.
Conclusions:
- The proposed Ensemble model serves as an effective decision-support tool for predicting student performance in basic education.
- Machine learning and deep learning integration offers a powerful strategy for educational data analysis in specialized institutional contexts.
- Further research can explore the scalability and adaptability of this approach in diverse educational environments.
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