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Related Experiment Video

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Asthma Detection Research Based on Voice Signal Processing and Machine Learning
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Published on: July 22, 2025

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RETRACTED: Interpretable machine learning framework for predicting Urban air quality.

Rana Muhammad Amir Latif1, Tahir Iqbal2, Ismaeel Abdel Qader3

  • 1The Center for Modern Chinese City Studies, School of Geographic Sciences, East China Normal University, Shanghai, China.

Plos One
|November 7, 2025
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Machine learning models effectively forecast air quality. Random Forest and XGBoost showed the best performance in predicting the Air Quality Index (AQI), offering insights for urban air pollution management.

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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Science
  • Computer Science
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Urban air pollution poses significant risks to public health and environmental sustainability.
  • The Air Quality dataset from the UCI ML Repository, though dated (2004-2005), remains a valuable benchmark for evaluating air quality forecasting methods.
  • Machine learning (ML) offers potential solutions for predicting air quality and informing policy.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the predictive performance of five machine learning models (LR, DT, RF, XGBoost, SVR) for Air Quality Index (AQI) forecasting.
  • To identify the most influential features for AQI prediction.
  • To develop an interpretable and reproducible ML framework for air quality management.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized the UCI ML Repository's Air Quality dataset, performing pre-processing, feature engineering, and chronological splitting.
  • Trained and rigorously tuned five ML models: Linear Regression (LR), Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Support Vector Regression (SVR).
  • Assessed model performance using RMSE, MAE, and R2, with statistical significance confirmed via bootstrap confidence intervals and t-tests. Employed SHAP for interpretability.

Main Results:

  • Ensemble models, specifically Random Forest and XGBoost, demonstrated superior performance in AQI forecasting.
  • Random Forest achieved the lowest Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 12.48 and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 9.35.
  • XGBoost yielded the highest coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.89. NOx, PM2.5, and CO were identified as key predictors.

Conclusions:

  • Interpretable machine learning models provide a reproducible and efficient framework for AQI forecasting.
  • The study underscores the value of benchmark datasets for validating ML methodologies in environmental science.
  • Findings support the application of ML for smart city air quality management and public health policy development.