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Updated: Jan 11, 2026

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Weak global trade-off between frost and drought resistance in trees
Maximilian Larter1,2, Guillaume Charrier2, Sylvain Delzon1
1Univ. Bordeaux, INRAE, BIOGECO, 33600, Pessac, France.
Climate change impacts species distributions. A global study reveals a weak trade-off between drought and frost resistance, with few species resilient to both stresses.
Area of Science:
- Ecology
- Evolutionary Biology
- Plant Physiology
Background:
- Species distributions are limited by environmental stresses like drought and frost.
- Understanding stress resistance traits is crucial for predicting species vulnerability to climate change.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate evolutionary trade-offs between drought and frost resistance in woody plants.
- To assess how these traits influence species distribution and vulnerability to climate change.
Main Methods:
- Compiled a global database of drought resistance (P50) and frost resistance (LT50) measurements.
- Utilized Bayesian phylogenetic quantile regressions to analyze trait evolution and trade-offs.
- Included phylogenetic signal in the analysis.
Main Results:
- Conifers generally exhibit higher resistance to both drought and frost than angiosperms.
- A weak trade-off exists: drought-resistant species are less frost-hardy, and vice versa.
- Drought resistance correlates with denser wood, smaller conduits, shorter stature, and lower specific leaf area.
Conclusions:
- The study identifies a limited trade-off between drought and frost resistance, with few species highly resistant to both.
- Phylogenetic signal influences the observed relationships between stress resistance traits.
- Findings have implications for forest adaptation strategies in the face of changing climate patterns, including hotter summers and increased frost risk.
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