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Wealth creation and disease burden: Evidence from Nigeria based on a Bayesian-VAR approach
1Department of Economics, Statistics and Finance, "G.Anania" University of Calabria, Arcavacata of Rende, Italy.
Plos One
|November 10, 2025
Summary
Wealth creation significantly reduces disease burden in Nigeria. Policies promoting wealth creation and equitable redistribution are recommended to improve public health and increase life expectancy.
Area of Science:
- Health Economics
- Econometrics
- Public Health
Background:
- Developing countries face significant disease burdens.
- Nigeria, a developing nation, experiences a substantial disease burden.
- Understanding the drivers of disease burden is crucial for effective policy.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the causal links between wealth creation and disease burden in Nigeria.
- To analyze the impact of wealth creation, life expectancy, and population growth on disease burden.
- To provide evidence-based recommendations for reducing disease burden in developing countries.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a Bayesian Vector Autoregression (B-VAR) model.
- Employed impulse response functions and forecast variance decomposition.
- Analyzed data for Nigeria from 2006 to 2018.
Main Results:
- Wealth creation demonstrated the most significant impact on reducing disease burden.
- Trade in services, remittances, and ease of doing business were key indicators of wealth creation.
- Disease burden also showed notable responses to changes in life expectancy and population growth.
Conclusions:
- Policies focused on wealth creation are vital for mitigating disease burden in Nigeria.
- Equitable wealth redistribution is essential for maximizing health benefits.
- Targeted interventions can enhance life expectancy and reduce disease prevalence.
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