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Updated: Jan 11, 2026

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Low-Cost, High-Accuracy Reactivity Modeling: Integrating Genetic Algorithms and Machine Learning with Multilevel DFT
José A Pérez1,2, María M Zanardi2, Ariel M Sarotti1
1Instituto de Química Rosario (CONICET), Facultad de Ciencias Bioquímicas y Farmacéuticas, Universidad Nacional de Rosario, Suipacha 531, Rosario 2000, Argentina.
Abstract:
Accurate prediction of Gibbs activation energies (ΔG‡) for Diels-Alder (DA) reactions remains a critical challenge in computational chemistry, as conventional density functional theory (DFT) methods often fail to consistently achieve chemical accuracy (<1 kcal mol-1). In this work, we demonstrate that no single method reliably meets this threshold through a systematic evaluation of 720 DFT approaches across 24 DA reactions. Here, we introduce a proof-of-concept framework that integrates a genetic algorithm and machine learning (GA-ML) to intelligently select cost-effective, multilevel DFT combinations. Our optimized GA1 model identified four low-cost DFT combinations that yield ΔG‡ predictions with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.4 kcal mol-1 in both training and external validation sets, matching the accuracy of high-level CCSD(T) calculations at a fraction of the computational cost. To further enhance adaptability, we introduce Dynamic Generalization-Driven Transfer Learning (DGDTL), a novel method that adaptively optimizes linear coefficients, ensuring robust predictions for both known and unseen reactions. The integration of GA-ML and DGDTL establishes a scalable, high-fidelity paradigm for reactivity prediction, with potential applications in catalysis, drug design, and materials science.
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