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Accelerated rifting in response to regional climate change in the East African Rift System
James D Muirhead1,2, Liang Xue3, Robert Moucha3
1School of Environment, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand. j.muirhead@auckland.ac.nz.
Scientific Reports
|November 10, 2025
Summary
Climate change impacts fault activity. Drier conditions following the African Humid Period led to increased fault slip rates in Kenya
Area of Science:
- Tectonics
- Climate Science
- Geophysics
Background:
- Continental rifting involves complex interactions between tectonic, magmatic, and surface processes.
- Surface processes, particularly regional climate, significantly influence rift system evolution.
- The South Turkana Basin in the Lake Turkana Rift, Kenya, provides a key area to study these interactions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the influence of regional climate variability on rift system behavior.
- To analyze changes in fault slip rates in the South Turkana Basin.
- To understand the impact of the end of the African Humid Period on tectonic activity.
Main Methods:
- Examined throw rates on 27 faults over two periods: the African Humid Period (9,631–5,333 years BP) and the post-African Humid Period (5,333 years BP–present).
- Utilized numerical simulations to model Coulomb stress changes from different loading sources.
- Assessed the impact of lake level drop and magmatic loading on fault activity.
Main Results:
- Faults in the South Turkana Basin showed a mean increase in throw rate of 0.17 ± 0.08 mm/yr during the drier post-African Humid Period.
- Numerical simulations indicated that increased magmatic loading, driven by reduced lake loading, caused greater Coulomb stress changes than lake level drop alone.
- An increase in magma flux greater than 0.1 km³/kyr significantly influenced stress changes.
Conclusions:
- Provides the first empirical evidence linking climate-induced lake level changes to increased fault activity in the East African Rift System over millennial timescales.
- Demonstrates that climate-tectonic interactions are amplified in magmatically active rift zones.
- Highlights the critical role of climate variability in modulating tectonic processes in continental rifts.
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