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Leveraging Explainable Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) and Metabolomics for Robust Diagnosis and
Fatma Hilal Yagin1,2, Cemil Colak3, Fahaid Al-Hashem4
1Department of Biostatistics, Faculty of Medicine, Malatya Turgut Ozal University, 44210 Malatya, Türkiye.
Diagnostics (Basel, Switzerland)
|November 13, 2025
Summary
Automated machine learning accurately detects Myalgic Encephalomyelitis/Chronic Fatigue Syndrome (ME/CFS) using plasma metabolomics and lipidomics. This approach identifies key biomarkers, offering potential for improved diagnostics and understanding of ME/CFS pathophysiology.
Area of Science:
- Biomarker Discovery
- Computational Biology
- Metabolomics and Lipidomics
Background:
- Myalgic Encephalomyelitis/Chronic Fatigue Syndrome (ME/CFS) is a complex, debilitating illness with unknown causes and no objective diagnostic markers.
- Current diagnostic approaches for ME/CFS rely on symptom assessment, highlighting the need for objective biomarkers.
- Plasma metabolomic and lipidomic profiling offers a promising avenue for identifying ME/CFS-specific molecular signatures.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate an accurate diagnostic tool for ME/CFS using Automated Machine Learning (AutoML).
- To analyze plasma metabolomic and lipidomic data for identifying discriminatory biomarkers of ME/CFS.
- To gain biological insights into ME/CFS pathophysiology through interpretable AI models.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a public dataset of 888 metabolic and lipidomic features from 106 ME/CFS patients and 91 controls.
- Benchmarked three AutoML frameworks (TPOT, Auto-Sklearn, H2O AutoML) for ME/CFS classification.
- Employed univariate ROC, PLS-DA, cross-validation, permutation testing, and SHAP analysis for feature selection and model interpretability.
Main Results:
- The TPOT AutoML framework achieved high diagnostic performance: 92.1% AUC, 87.3% accuracy, 85.8% sensitivity, and 89.0% specificity.
- PLS-DA confirmed statistically significant discrimination between ME/CFS patients and controls.
- Explainable AI identified key metabolites linked to mitochondrial dysfunction, inflammation, gut-brain axis, and cell membrane integrity.
Conclusions:
- AutoML, particularly TPOT, provides a highly accurate and robust method for ME/CFS detection using omics data.
- The identified biomarkers offer valuable insights into ME/CFS pathophysiology, potentially guiding clinical decision support.
- This approach paves the way for developing novel therapeutic targets for ME/CFS.
Keywords:
Automated machine learningMyalgic Encephalomyelitis/Chronic Fatigue SyndromeTPOTexplainable artificial intelligencemetabolomics
