Arterial Enhancement Fraction-Spectral CT-Based Model as Part of Prediction Model in BRAF^V600E-Positive Papillary...

Objectives: The BRAF^V600E is the most common oncogene in thyroid cancer and is associated with the aggressiveness of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). The aim of this study was to investigate the effectiveness of the arterial enhancement fraction (AEF) and dual-layer detector spectral computed tomography (DLCT) parameters for predicting the BRAF^V600E mutation in PTC. Methods: A total of 237 patients with PTC who underwent DLCT and BRAF^V600E mutation detection (mutant group: n = 187; wild group: n = 50) were retrospectively reviewed. The receiver operating characteristic curves evaluated the effectiveness of the prediction models based on the significantly different variables using logistic regression analysis. The nomogram of the prediction model with the highest AUC in the validation cohort was constructed. Results: The AUCs of the DLCT+ Hashimoto's thyroiditis (HT) and AEF + DLCT + HT prediction models were 0.901 and 0.896, respectively, in the training cohort and 0.801 and 0.853 in the validation cohort. The calibration curve revealed the good agreement between the prediction results and the actual observations using the AEF + DLCT + HT model. The DCA demonstrated that the model can provide net benefit for all threshold probabilities. Conclusions: As an effective and visually noninvasive prediction tool, the AEF + DLCT + HT-based nomogram presented satisfactory effectiveness in preoperatively predicting the BRAF^V600E mutation in PTC.