Using Machine Learning for the Discovery and Development of Multitarget Flavonoid-Based Functional Products in MASLD

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) represents a multifactorial condition requiring multi-target therapeutic strategies beyond traditional single-marker approaches. In this work, we present a fully in silico nutraceutical screening pipeline that integrates molecular prediction, systemic aggregation, and technological design. A curated panel of ten MASLD-relevant targets, spanning nuclear receptors (FXR, PPAR-α/γ, THR-β), lipogenic and cholesterogenic enzymes (ACC1, FASN, DGAT2, HMGCR), and transport/regulatory proteins (LIPG, FABP4), was assembled from proteomic evidence. Bioactivity records were extracted from ChEMBL, structurally standardized, and converted into RDKit descriptors. Predictive modeling employed a stacked ensemble of Random Forest, XGBoost, and CatBoost with isotonic calibration, yielding robust performance (mean cross-validated ROC-AUC 0.834; independent test ROC-AUC 0.840). Calibrated probabilities were aggregated into total activity (TA) and weighted TA metrics, combined with structural clustering (six structural clusters, twelve MOA clusters) to ensure chemical diversity. We used physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling to translate probabilistic profiles into minimum simulated doses (MSDs) and chrono-specific exposure (%T>IC50) for three prototype concepts: HepatoBlend (morning powder), LiverGuard Tea (evening aqueous form), and HDL-Chews (postprandial chew). Integration of physicochemical descriptors (MW, logP, TPSA) guided carrier and encapsulation choices, addressing stability and sensory constraints. The results demonstrate that a computationally integrated pipeline can rationally generate multi-target nutraceutical formulations, linking molecular predictions with systemic coverage and practical formulation specifications, and thus provides a transferable framework for MASLD and related metabolic conditions.