Alcoholic Liver Disease and Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome: Mortality Prediction Using Biomarkers and...

Background/Objectives: Cirrhosis is an irreversible state of chronic liver disease. Systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) is a severe complication and significantly contributes to lethal outcomes in cirrhotic patients. We studied a group of cirrhotic patients with SIRS admitted to our centre, assessing the relationship with in-hospital outcomes. Methods: The study population included 102 patients with alcoholic cirrhosis and SIRS. Laboratory biomarkers, the model for end-stage liver disease, the model for end-stage liver disease-natrium, the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score, CLIF-C organ failure, the systemic immune-inflammation index score (S II), and the Cirrhosis Acute Gastrointestinal Bleeding (CAGIB) score were tested in relation to the mortality risk using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Results: Our results demonstrated that values of sodium, chlorides, and albumin significantly correlated with 7-day survival. The area under the curve's (AUCs) values for sodium, chlorides, and albumin were 0.542, 0.627, and 0.610, respectively, for 7-day mortality prediction. The CAGIB score significantly correlated with 7-day mortality, with the cut-off value of -7.86 (AUC: 0.674, 95% CI (0.555-0.794)). For the assessment of 28-day mortality, the AUC values for sodium, chlorides, and albumin were 0.630, 0.654, and 0.661, respectively. Additionally, the cut-off value of the CAGIB score was found to be -7.84 (AUC: 0.625, 95% CI (0.509-0.740)) in 28-day mortality prediction. Conclusions: Sodium, chlorides, albumin, and the CAGIB score are reliable predictors of 7-day and 28-day in-hospital mortality in patients with advanced alcoholic liver disease and SIRS.