A systematic review and meta-analysis of GPT-based differential diagnostic accuracy in radiological cases: 2023-2025

To systematically evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of various GPT models in radiology, focusing on differential diagnosis performance across textual and visual input modalities, model versions, and clinical contexts.

A systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted using PubMed and SCOPUS databases on March 24, 2025, retrieving 639 articles. Studies were eligible if they evaluated GPT model diagnostic accuracy on radiology cases. Non-radiology applications, fine-tuned/custom models, board-style multiple-choice questions, or studies lacking accuracy data were excluded. After screening, 28 studies were included. Risk of bias was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS). Diagnostic accuracy was assessed as top diagnosis accuracy (correct diagnosis listed first) and differential accuracy (correct diagnosis listed anywhere). Statistical analysis involved Mann-Whitney U tests using study-level median (median) accuracy with interquartile ranges (IQR), and a generalized linear mixed-effects model (GLMM) to evaluate predictors influencing model performance.

Analysis included 8,852 radiological cases across multiple radiology subspecialties. Differential accuracy varied significantly among GPT models, with newer models (GPT-4T: 72.00%, median 82.32%; GPT-4o: 57.23%, median 53.75%; GPT-4: 56.46%, median 56.65%) outperforming earlier versions (GPT-3.5: 37.87%, median 36.33%). Textual inputs demonstrated higher accuracy (GPT-4: 56.46%, median 58.23%) compared to visual inputs (GPT-4V: 42.32%, median 41.41%). The provision of clinical history was associated with improved diagnostic accuracy in the GLMM (OR = 1.27, p = .001), despite unadjusted medians showing lower performance when history was provided (61.74% vs. 52.28%). Private data (86.51%, median 94.00%) yielded higher accuracy than public data (47.62%, median 46.45%). Accuracy trends indicated improvement in newer models over time, while GPT-3.5's accuracy declined. GLMM results showed higher odds of accuracy for advanced models (OR = 1.84), and lower odds for visual inputs (OR = 0.29) and public datasets (OR = 0.34), while accuracy showed no significant trend over successive study years (p = 0.57). Egger's test found no significant publication bias, though considerable methodological heterogeneity was observed.

This meta-analysis highlights significant variability in GPT model performance influenced by input modality, data source, and model version. High methodological heterogeneity across studies emphasizes the need for standardized protocols in future research, and readers should interpret pooled estimates and medians with this variability in mind.