Multicellular immune ecotypes within solid tumors predict real-world therapeutic benefits with immune checkpoint

Xuefeng Wang1, Tingyi Li2, Islam Eljilany3

  • 1Department of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, H. Lee Moffitt Cancer Center and Research Institute, Tampa, FL, USA. Xuefeng.Wang@moffitt.org.

Nature Communications
|November 13, 2025
PubMed

Insights

Carcinoma ecotypes, which reflect cancer-immune interactions, can predict patient response to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). This study validates ecotypes as prognostic biomarkers across cancers, particularly melanoma, offering real-world evidence for guiding ICI therapy.

Area of Science:

  • Oncology
  • Immunology
  • Computational Biology

Background:

  • Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have revolutionized cancer therapy.
  • Predicting patient response to ICIs remains a significant clinical challenge.
  • Carcinoma ecotypes, representing cancer-immune interactions, show potential as biomarkers but require real-world validation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To define and assess the prognostic and predictive value of carcinoma ecotypes in cancer patients treated with ICIs.
  • To develop and validate a melanoma-specific ICI predictive model.
  • To establish an ecotype-based framework for clinical decision-making in ICI therapy.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of the ORIEN Avatar ICI cohort (1610 patients) and a broader dataset (14,997 individuals) with gene expression data.
  • EcoTyper-based immunophenotyping to define ecotypes and assess their association with survival outcomes.
  • Development and validation of a melanoma-specific ICI predictive model using clinical trial and external datasets.

Main Results:

  • Distinct cell states and ecotypes were consistently associated with survival outcomes across various cancer types.
  • The developed melanoma-specific ICI predictive model demonstrated significant validation.
  • Real-world evidence supports the translational utility of ecotypes as prognostic and predictive biomarkers.

Conclusions:

  • Carcinoma ecotypes provide a robust framework for understanding cancer-immune interactions.
  • Ecotype-based immunophenotyping offers clinically actionable insights for guiding ICI therapy.
  • This study establishes the real-world prognostic and predictive value of ecotypes in oncology.

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