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Blood pressure variability is associated with heart failure risk, elevated NT-proBNP, and elevated high-sensitivity
Daniel S Nuyujukian1,2, Jin J Zhou1,3, Juraj Koska2
1Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States.
Insights
Blood pressure variability (BPV) is linked to increased risk of heart failure (HF) and early signs of heart damage. These findings suggest BPV may play a role in HF development.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Hypertension Research
- Epidemiology
Background:
- The relationship between blood pressure variability (BPV) and incident heart failure (HF) remains unclear.
- Subclinical markers of HF and myocardial injury also need further investigation regarding their association with BPV.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between visit-to-visit BPV and the risk of incident HF.
- To examine the link between BPV and subclinical markers of HF and myocardial injury.
Main Methods:
- The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) cohort (n=6,814) was used, with individuals free of cardiovascular disease at baseline.
- Visit-to-visit BPV was estimated using variability independent of the mean (VIM) from serial blood pressure measurements.
- Cox models and joint longitudinal-survival models assessed the association with HF, while logistic regression analyzed associations with N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin-T (hs-cTnT).
Main Results:
- BPV, specifically VIM-SBP, was significantly associated with an increased risk of incident HF (HR=1.33).
- BPV was associated with elevated NT-proBNP levels (VIM-SBP OR=1.26; VIM-DBP OR=1.23).
- BPV (VIM-SBP) was also linked to elevated hs-cTnT levels (OR=1.27), indicating myocardial injury.
Conclusions:
- Visit-to-visit blood pressure variability is associated with incident heart failure.
- BPV is linked to longitudinal increases in subclinical markers of HF and myocardial injury.
- These findings suggest that BPV may contribute to the development of heart failure.
Background:
It is not well established whether blood pressure variability (BPV) is associated with risk of incident heart failure (HF) as well as with subclinical markers of HF and myocardial injury. We investigated these relationships in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).
Methods:
We examined the association between visit-to-visit BPV (estimated by variability independent of the mean-VIM) and HF in MESA (2000-2012), a community-based cohort study of 6814 individuals free of clinical cardiovascular disease (including HF) at baseline, using Cox models and joint longitudinal-survival models. VIM was calculated from Exams 1 to 5. Serial measurements (Exams 1 and 5) of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin-T (hs-cTnT) were used to test the early onset and directionality of the relationships by logistic regression.
Results:
Over a median of 9.4 years of follow-up, VIM-SBP was associated with HF in adjusted Cox models including CVD risk factors (HR = 1.33 [95% CI, 1.03-1.69]), as well as in joint longitudinal-survival models. BPV was associated with elevated Exam 5 NT-proBNP (>125 pg/mL) after multivariable adjustment (VIM-SBP: OR = 1.26 [95% CI, 1.17-1.37]; VIM-DBP: OR = 1.23 [95% CI, 1.14-1.33]) and Exam 5 elevation in hs-cTnT (for VIM-SBP, OR = 1.27).
Conclusions:
BPV was associated with incident HF and longitudinal increases of subclinical markers of HF and myocardial injury in a multi-ethnic community-based cohort. These data indicate that visit-to-visit BPV may contribute to the development of HF.
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