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Can Oxygen Isotopes in Tree Rings Be Used to Detect Stomatal Responses to Global Change?
Imogen Carter1, Roel Brienen1, Manuel Gloor1
1School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Global Change Biology
|November 15, 2025
Summary
Tree ring oxygen isotopes (δ18Otrc) may not reliably indicate long-term changes in stomatal conductance (gs) due to rising CO2. Environmental factors like VPD and temperature significantly influence δ18Otrc trends, complicating gs interpretations.
Area of Science:
- Plant ecophysiology
- Paleoclimatology
- Isotope geochemistry
Background:
- Stomatal conductance (gs) controls plant gas exchange, but its long-term response to rising CO2 and climate change is debated.
- Tree ring stable oxygen isotopes (δ18Otrc) are proposed to reflect past gs, but their sensitivity to environmental drivers needs evaluation.
- Previous studies using δ18Otrc suggest minimal changes in gs since pre-industrial times, yet this is questioned.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the sensitivity of tree ring oxygen isotopes (δ18Otrc) to changes in stomatal conductance (gs) under rising CO2 and climate change.
- To evaluate the influence of vapor pressure deficit (VPD) and temperature on δ18Otrc trends, independent of gs.
- To determine the reliability of δ18Otrc for inferring long-term gs trends.
Main Methods:
- Utilized current theoretical models to simulate δ18Otrc trends.
- Analyzed the impact of temporal changes in gs, VPD, and temperature on δ18Otrc since the early 20th century.
- Investigated the role of the Péclet effect in linking gs changes to δ18Otrc.
Main Results:
- Temporal changes in gs only significantly impact δ18Otrc trends in dry climates with the Péclet effect present.
- Increases in VPD and temperature have a much larger influence on δ18Otrc trends than gs changes.
- The sensitivity of δ18Otrc to detect gs changes is limited, especially under non-Péclet conditions.
Conclusions:
- Interpreting long-term gs trends from δ18Otrc requires caution due to confounding environmental factors.
- VPD and temperature are dominant drivers of δ18Otrc trends, making unambiguous attribution to gs challenging.
- Future research should refine methods to disentangle the effects of gs, VPD, and temperature for accurate paleoclimate reconstructions.
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