Adherence to Mediterranean Diet and Risk of Type 2 Diabetes: An Updated Systematic Review and Dose-Response
Sabina Wallerer1, Julia Stadelmaier1, Eike Floegel1
1Institute for Evidence in Medicine, Medical Center - University of Freiburg/Medical Faculty - University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany.
Advances in Nutrition (Bethesda, Md.)
|November 15, 2025
Summary
Following the Mediterranean diet (MedDiet) is linked to a lower risk of developing type 2 diabetes (T2D). This updated review confirms that higher adherence to the MedDiet is a beneficial strategy for T2D prevention.
Area of Science:
- Nutritional Epidemiology
- Preventive Medicine
- Public Health
Background:
- Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) is a growing global health concern.
- The Mediterranean diet (MedDiet) is recognized for its potential in T2D prevention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To systematically review and synthesize current evidence on the association between MedDiet adherence and incident T2D.
- To evaluate the certainty of evidence from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and prospective cohort studies.
Main Methods:
- Systematic literature search of MEDLINE, Cochrane CENTRAL, and Scopus (2014-2025).
- Inclusion of prospective cohort studies and RCTs examining MedDiet adherence and T2D incidence.
- Random-effects dose-response meta-analyses and risk of bias assessments.
Main Results:
- Analysis of 24 cohort studies and 1 RCT (991,878 participants; 68,325 T2D cases).
- Higher MedDiet adherence showed a moderate-certainty association with reduced T2D risk (HR per 2-point increment: 0.92; 95% CI: 0.90, 0.94).
- Consistent dose-response relationship and robust findings across subgroup analyses.
Conclusions:
- Moderate-certainty evidence supports that increased MedDiet adherence lowers T2D risk.
- Findings reinforce dietary guidelines recommending the MedDiet for T2D prevention.
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