The impact of glycated hemoglobin trajectories on hypertension risk: a retrospective cohort study

Yongbing Sun1, Yu Shen1, Ao Liu1

  • 1Department of Medical Imaging, Zhengzhou University People's Hospital, Henan Provincial People's Hospital, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.

Frontiers in Nutrition
|November 21, 2025
PubMed

Insights

Elevated glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels and trajectories significantly increase hypertension risk. HbA1c above 5.70% and stable medium-to-high HbA1c patterns are key indicators for hypertension risk assessment.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Endocrinology
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) is a key indicator of long-term glucose control.
  • HbA1c levels have been associated with the development of hypertension.
  • Understanding this relationship is crucial for cardiovascular risk assessment.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the association between baseline HbA1c levels and hypertension risk.
  • To analyze the impact of HbA1c trajectories on hypertension development.
  • To identify HbA1c as a potential biomarker for hypertension risk.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective cohort study of 10,138 adults from health screenings.
  • Analysis of hypertension incidence across baseline HbA1c tertiles and trajectories.
  • Latent class trajectory modeling (LCTM) and Cox proportional hazards models were used.

Main Results:

  • 34.05% of participants developed hypertension during follow-up.
  • Highest baseline HbA1c tertile showed significantly increased hypertension risk (HR=1.49).
  • Medium and high stable HbA1c trajectories were linked to increased risks (HR=1.38 and HR=2.71, respectively).
  • A J-shaped relationship was observed, with an inflection point at HbA1c=5.70%.

Conclusions:

  • Elevated baseline HbA1c (>5.70%) and medium-to-high stable HbA1c trajectories significantly elevate hypertension risk.
  • HbA1c is a valuable biomarker for assessing hypertension risk in adults.
  • These findings support proactive monitoring of HbA1c for cardiovascular health.
Abstract

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