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Published on: September 17, 2014
Predictors of Malignant Cerebral Edema Following Mechanical Thrombectomy in Acute Ischemic Stroke: A Retrospective
Zhenye Liu1, Yuning Lin2, Xiaoling Duan1
1Department of Radiology, Fuzong Clinical Medical College of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China; Department of Radiology, The 900th Hospital of Joint Logistic Support Force, PLA, FuJian, China.
Objective:
To study the risk factors of malignant cerebral edema (MCE) after mechanical thrombectomy (MT) in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) and middle cerebral artery/internal carotid artery occlusion, and to establish a clinical prediction nomogram.
Methods:
We retrospectively analyzed patients with AIS who achieved successful recanalization after MT at our hospital from March 2019 to December 2024. These patients were randomly divided into a training cohort (80%) and an internal validation cohort (20%). Independent risk factors associated with MCE were determined using logistic regression analysis, and a nomogram was created on the basis of these factors. The discriminative performance was quantified by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).
Results:
Among the 284 enrolled patients, 49 (17%) developed MCE. Patients in the MCE group had a significantly higher percentage of a poor functional outcome at 90 days than those in the non-MCE group (88% vs. 45%, P<0.001). Predictors of MCE after MT in patients with AIS included the Alberta Stroke Project Early CT Score, Hyperdensity on CT Score, baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, and puncture-to-reperfusion time >120 min. The nomogram showed excellent discrimination, with an area under the curve of 0.941 (95% CI: 0.909-0.972) in the training cohort and 0.964 (95% CI: 0.921-1.000) in the validation cohort.
Conclusions:
We developed a nomogram incorporating 5 readily available clinical and imaging variables that predicts the risk of MCE after MT, which may assist in early clinical decision-making.
Insights
This study identifies key predictors of malignant cerebral edema (MCE) following mechanical thrombectomy for acute ischemic stroke. A new nomogram helps predict MCE risk, aiding early clinical decisions for stroke patients.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Radiology
- Critical Care Medicine
Background:
- Mechanical thrombectomy (MT) is a crucial treatment for acute ischemic stroke (AIS).
- Malignant cerebral edema (MCE) is a serious complication post-MT, significantly impacting patient outcomes.
- Identifying risk factors for MCE is vital for improving patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the risk factors associated with malignant cerebral edema (MCE) after mechanical thrombectomy (MT) in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS).
- To develop and validate a clinical prediction nomogram for MCE risk post-MT.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 284 AIS patients who underwent successful MT.
- Patients were divided into training (80%) and validation (20%) cohorts.
- Logistic regression identified independent risk factors; a nomogram was constructed and validated using AUC.
Main Results:
- 49 (17%) patients developed MCE, associated with poorer 90-day functional outcomes (88% vs. 45%).
- Predictors included Alberta Stroke Project Early CT Score, Hyperdensity on CT Score, NIH Stroke Scale, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, and prolonged puncture-to-reperfusion time (>120 min).
- The nomogram demonstrated excellent predictive performance (AUC 0.941 in training, 0.964 in validation).
Conclusions:
- A novel nomogram incorporating five clinical and imaging variables effectively predicts MCE risk post-MT.
- This tool can assist clinicians in early decision-making for AIS patients undergoing MT.
- Early risk stratification may lead to timely interventions and improved patient outcomes.
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