Can a population pharmacokinetics model built on intermittent infusions accurately predict meropenem concentrations
Lucy Cheng1,2, Suchita Kumar3, Pier Giorgio Cojutti4,5
1Division of Translational and Clinical Pharmacology, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati, Ohio, USA.
Insights
A population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) model for meropenem effectively predicts drug concentrations in critically ill children receiving continuous infusions. This validated model supports precision dosing strategies for pediatric intensive care unit patients.
Area of Science:
- Pharmacology
- Pediatric Critical Care
- Pharmacokinetics
Background:
- Established a population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) model for meropenem in pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) patients receiving intermittent infusions.
- Continuous infusion meropenem dosing is increasingly used in critically ill children, necessitating validated dosing models.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive performance of a previously developed meropenem PopPK model in pediatric patients receiving continuous infusions.
- Assess the model's ability to estimate steady-state meropenem concentrations in this distinct patient population.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of data from 57 pediatric patients (163 samples) receiving continuous infusion meropenem.
- Evaluation of bias and precision using median prediction error (MDPE) and median absolute prediction error (MDAPE) for population and individual predictions.
Main Results:
- Population predictions showed 17.0% MDPE and 33.4% MDAPE.
- Individual predictions demonstrated 4.4% MDPE and 19.6% MDAPE, largely meeting acceptable bias (<20%) and precision (<30%) criteria.
- The model exhibited good predictive performance for both population and individual meropenem concentrations.
Conclusions:
- The meropenem PopPK model demonstrates reliable predictive performance for continuous infusion in critically ill pediatric patients.
- This model can inform initial meropenem dosing strategies in pediatric intensive care.
- The validated PopPK model supports model-informed precision dosing for continuous meropenem therapy in critically ill children.
Abstract:
We previously developed a population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) model using data from paediatric intensive care unit patients receiving meropenem as intermittent infusions. This study assessed the predictive performance of our model in estimating steady-state concentrations of meropenem in paediatric patients receiving continuous infusions. Retrospective data from 57 patients and 163 samples were used to measure bias and precision in both population and individual meropenem concentration predictions via median prediction error (MDPE) and median absolute prediction error (MDAPE), respectively. Error metrics for population predictions were 17.0% MDPE and 33.4% MDAPE, and for individual predictions were 4.4% MDPE and 19.6%, nearly all meeting the commonly used acceptable values of 20% for bias metrics and 30% for precision. In conclusion, this meropenem PopPK model can guide initial dosing strategies and be applied for model-informed precision dosing in critically ill paediatric patients receiving meropenem as continuous infusion.
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