Inferring Unknown Race in Central Cancer Registries
1Francis P. Boscoe, Ph.D., Pumphandle, LLC, Camden, Maine.
Journal of Registry Management
|November 24, 2025
Summary
This study introduces Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding (BISG) to reduce missing race information in cancer registries by up to 75%, improving data accuracy for cancer incidence rates.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Biostatistics
- Cancer Epidemiology
Background:
- Completeness of race information is crucial for cancer registry data certification in the US.
- Missing race data can lead to inaccuracies in cancer incidence rates and disparities analysis.
Purpose of the Study:
- To present and evaluate the Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding (BISG) method for reducing unknown race information in cancer registries.
- To assess the accuracy and effectiveness of BISG in improving race-specific cancer incidence data.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding (BISG) method, a technique with over 15 years of use in social sciences and public health.
- Employed North Carolina voter rolls as a proxy for cancer patients, sampling to mirror national race/ethnicity distributions.
- Integrated BISG into freely available computer code for widespread application.
Main Results:
- Achieved a reduction in unknown race information by up to 75%.
- Demonstrated high accuracy (95%), with race-specific sensitivity ranging from 81-99% and positive predictive value from 88-97%.
- Showed potential to increase accuracy of race-specific cancer incidence rates by up to 3% in registries with high missingness.
Conclusions:
- The BISG method offers a validated approach to significantly improve the completeness and accuracy of race information in cancer registries.
- Accurate race data is essential for reliable cancer surveillance, research, and targeted public health interventions.
- The availability of BISG in computer code facilitates its adoption and enhances the quality of cancer data nationwide.
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