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Urinary extracellular vesicles for high-precision bladder cancer subtyping and prognosis
Zachary F Greenberg1,2, Tarun E Hutchinson3, Johnathan Kahn4
1Department of Pharmaceutics, College of Pharmacy; University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA.
Medrxiv : the Preprint Server for Health Sciences
|November 24, 2025
Summary
This study introduces an AI-driven urinary extracellular vesicle (uEV) liquid biopsy pipeline for precise bladder cancer subtyping and prognosis. The novel approach outperforms existing biomarkers, offering potential for improved treatment decisions.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Biotechnology
- Bioinformatics
Background:
- Bladder cancer's molecular heterogeneity complicates diagnosis and prognosis.
- Non-muscle invasive and muscle-invasive bladder cancer subtypes have a 25-50% progression-free survival rate, necessitating advanced prognostic strategies.
- Urinary extracellular vesicles (uEVs) are potential carriers of tumor biomarkers, but their clinical utility is hindered by diverse origins and urine composition.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate an AI-driven liquid biopsy pipeline using uEVs for precise bladder cancer subtyping and prognosis.
- To compare the efficacy of NanoPom-isolated uEVs against other isolation methods for identifying bladder cancer-specific gene signatures.
- To establish a prognostic scoring algorithm for stratifying bladder cancer patients based on risk.
Main Methods:
- Standardized uEV isolation using NanoPom magnetic beads.
- Transcriptomic profiling of uEVs for molecular subtyping.
- External validation of gene signatures using UCSC Xena and correlation with plasma-derived EVs.
Main Results:
- The AI-driven pipeline identified bladder cancer subtype-specific gene signatures that outperformed existing diagnostic biomarkers.
- NanoPom isolation demonstrated superior performance compared to ExoEasy and Fujifilm MagCapture.
- The developed prognostic score effectively stratified patients into low-, intermediate-, and high-grade risk groups.
Conclusions:
- The AI-driven uEV liquid biopsy pipeline offers a high-precision strategy for bladder cancer subtyping and prognosis.
- This approach has the potential to aid treatment decisions and advance the understanding of bladder tumor biology.
- uEV liquid biopsy represents a promising non-invasive tool for personalized bladder cancer management.

