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Differentiating Mpox Infection and Vaccination Using a Validated Multiplex Orthopoxvirus IgG Serology Assay
Jonathan C Reed1, Cecilia Downs1, Kaden McAllister1
1Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, University of Washington Medical Center, Seattle, WA, USA.
Medrxiv : the Preprint Server for Health Sciences
|November 24, 2025
Summary
This study validates an assay to detect monkeypox virus (MPXV) antibodies. Ortholog pair ratios effectively distinguish between MPXV infection and vaccinia virus vaccination, aiding serosurveillance efforts.
Area of Science:
- Virology
- Immunology
- Clinical Diagnostics
Background:
- Monkeypox virus (MPXV) outbreaks necessitate reliable serological assays for exposure and immunity assessment.
- Orthopoxvirus cross-reactivity complicates differentiating antibody responses between natural MPXV infection and vaccination/other exposures.
Purpose of the Study:
- To validate the Meso Scale Discovery (MSD) V-PLEX Orthopoxvirus Panel 1 (IgG) Kit for quantifying antibody levels against MPXV and vaccinia virus (VACV) antigens.
- To assess the assay's performance in distinguishing between MPXV infection and JYNNEOS vaccination using clinical samples.
- To evaluate the utility of ortholog pair ratio analysis for differentiating exposure types.
Main Methods:
- Assay validation following Good Clinical Laboratory Practice (GCLP) guidelines.
- Testing serum samples from individuals with prior mpox, JYNNEOS vaccine recipients, and unexposed controls.
- Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis to determine sensitivity and specificity for exposure detection and differentiation.
Main Results:
- The MSD assay reliably detected antibody responses in all exposed cohorts, with peak levels at 2 months post-vaccination.
- Individual antigens showed high sensitivity for exposure detection, but poor performance in distinguishing infection from vaccination.
- Ortholog pair ratio analysis, specifically MPXV A35R/VACV A33R, effectively differentiated MPXV infection from vaccinia vaccination (AUC = 0.97).
Conclusions:
- The MSD V-PLEX Orthopoxvirus Panel 1 (IgG) Kit is validated for clinical research and serosurveillance of MPXV immunity.
- Ortholog pair ratio analysis is a valuable strategy for discriminating between MPXV infection and vaccinia virus vaccination.
- This approach enhances the accuracy of serological assessments in the context of orthopoxvirus exposures.

