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Adaptive Belief Rule Base Modeling of Complex Industrial Systems Based on Sigmoid Functions
Haolan Huang1, Shucheng Feng1, Jingying Li1
1The School of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Harbin Normal University, Harbin 150025, China.
This study introduces a reliable nonlinear belief rule base (R-NBRB) model to improve nonlinear fitting and uncertainty representation in complex systems. The R-NBRB model significantly reduces errors in industrial applications like petroleum leak detection.
Area of Science:
- Engineering
- Computer Science
- Artificial Intelligence
Background:
- Existing Belief Rule Base (BRB) models struggle with nonlinear dynamics, uncertainty representation, and parameter optimization in complex industrial systems.
- Multifactorial nonlinear relationships and inherent uncertainties pose significant challenges for traditional modeling approaches.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop an improved and reliable nonlinear belief rule base (R-NBRB) modeling method.
- To enhance nonlinear fitting, uncertainty representation, and parameter optimization capabilities.
- To address limitations of existing BRB models in handling complex industrial system dynamics.
Main Methods:
- Replaced the linear inference mechanism with a smooth nonlinear S-function for better adaptation to nonlinear dynamics.
- Quantified attribute reliability using a reliability assessment method and integrated data, reliability, and expert knowledge via the Evidential Reasoning (ER) algorithm.
- Applied the Covariance Matrix Adaptation Evolution Strategy (CMA-ES) algorithm for inference parameter optimization to reduce decision bias.
Main Results:
- The R-NBRB model demonstrated effectiveness in complex industrial scenarios, as validated by petroleum pipeline leak detection.
- Achieved a mean squared error (MSE) of 0.2569, representing a 28.24% reduction compared to the standard BRB model.
- Successfully integrated data, reliability, and expert knowledge, expressing uncertainty through belief degrees.
Conclusions:
- The proposed R-NBRB method offers superior performance and adaptability for modeling complex industrial systems with nonlinear relationships and uncertainties.
- The integration of nonlinear functions, reliability assessment, ER algorithm, and CMA-ES optimization provides a robust framework for reliable modeling.
- The method effectively reduces decision bias and improves accuracy, showcasing its practical applicability in critical industrial monitoring tasks.
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